IB Net Payout Yields Model

Intrade.Com Shows Nearly 50% Chance of Republicans Controlling Senate

In a dramatic surge, Intrade.com now suggests that the Republicans might just get control of the Senate. The odds have been relatively low most of the year until recently. Intrade shows a nearly 46% chance of Republicans gaining control up from a lowly 30% chance back on October 1st. This dramatic change is clearly being seen in the stock price surge in October. Less power for Obama means higher stock prices for a market trading at low valuations.


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