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SodaStream: Thank You Pepsi

SodaStream recently hit all-time highs following strong Q2 results. Pepsi agreed to buy SodaStream at $144 per share in cash. The premium valuation offers an ideal time to exist a winning position. Only a few weeks ago,   SodaStream   ( SODA ) exploded above $100 after strong   Q2 results . The manufacturer of home beverage systems benefited from strong quarterly sales and incredible leverage in the system to boost earnings. The company has now accepted an offer for $144 in cash allowing investors an opportunity to quickly exit on the top after a massive rally from the 2016 lows. Read the f ull article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No positioned mentioned. Sold SODA on the deal announcement. Please review the disclaimer page for more details.   

Did SodaStream Really Fizzle?

SodaStream reported mixed Q315 results. The results were hit hard by currency headwinds and a domestic transition. The stock trades at a compelling valuation, especially considering the likelihood that currency eventually turns into a tailwind. A day after a big bounce from Q3 results, SodaStream International (NASDAQ: SODA ) gave back all of those gains. The perception is that some analysts were not happy with the holiday sales forecasts after recalculating the numbers. The reality is that the home-beverage maker had some solid results for a stock only worth $320 million. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha. Disclosure: Long SODA. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Wal-Mart Rollout Puts the Fizz Back Into SodaStream

SodaStream ( NASDAQ: SODA     ) continues to offer the promise of providing a home beverage maker solution for the U.S. market, yet the company struggled through a difficult couple of quarters that has the stock at multi-year lows. After decades of solid growth in Europe and continuing success in the first quarter, the Americas were suppose to offer unlimited growth with the ability of the home beverage maker to take market share from Cola-Cola 's   ( NYSE: KO     ) and PepsiCo 's vast soda operations. The recent seasonal summer display by retail giant Wal-Mart Stores ( NYSE: WMT     ) offers some hope for reinvigorated growth in the very important U.S. market. For various reasons including an inventory overstock and a brutal winter that greatly damaged the whole retail sector, revenue for the Americas  plunged 28% to a meager $34.8 million for the quarter. For investors following SodaStream this news was right in line wi...

SodaStream Investors Need to Calm Down

SodaStream ( NASDAQ: SODA     ) released preliminary full-year 2013 numbers prior to the recent ICR XChange Conference that sent the stock crashing. The company ran into some headwinds in the U.S. market along with currency fluctuations that affected sell-in prices and increased costs. The combination worked to smash the gross margin during the domestically important fourth quarter, but there are several reasons for investors to calm down and think long term. Read the full article here . Disclosure: Long SODA and SHLD. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Load Up On SodaStream Especially If It Drops To $30

Anybody following the market on Monday probably saw that SodaStream International ( SODA ) had an ugly warning that sent the stock plunging 26% for the day. The manufacturer of home beverage carbonation systems continues to struggle to obtain investor confidence, even though, it generated nearly 30% growth for 2013. The stock is down roughly 50% from the early 2013 highs so is now the time to load up on the stock at around $37? Read the full article at Seeking Alpha. Disclosure: Long SODA. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

The Perpetually Misunderstood SodaStream

The sky appears to be the limit for SodaStream ( NASDAQ: SODA     ) , but investors would never know that based on the market average multiples applied to the stock. While SodaStream provides fast growth and unlimited potential, the stock trades at pedestrian multiples, including less than 19 times its 2013 earnings estimates and 13 times its adjusted EBITDA forecasts. Remember that beverage industry giant Coca-Cola  ( NYSE: KO     ) trades at 20 times its earnings, and related home beverage market participant Green   Mountain Coffee Roasters ( NASDAQ: GMCR     )   trades at 21 times its fiscal year 2013 earnings. SodaStream remains the unquestioned leader in home beverage carbonation systems, yet the market tends to stress on the smallest of details. In the last quarter, it was the lackluster reported flavor sales growth of only 7%. Remember that Coca-Cola would be happy with even 7% growth considering the e...

SodaStream: Plenty of Growth Left

As with any Israeli company, the threat of war in the Middle East always causes investors to pause on investments in the region. Recent threats of military action in neighbor Syria only add to those fears. Possibly this is part of the reason that, despite all the positive news, SodaStream ( NASDAQ: SODA     ) continues to trade at market low multiples, even compared to slower growing Green Mountain Coffee Roasters ( NASDAQ: GMCR     ) and Monster Beverage ( NASDAQ: MNST     ) . While threats of war probably won't ever go away, the market for home beverage machines has plenty of catalysts to reach its goal of $1 billion in revenue by 2016. Read the full article here . Disclosure: Long SODA. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Why Do Analysts Keep Getting SodaStream Wrong?

As quickly as SodaStream (NASDAQ: SODA ) finally gained some strong interest from the market, the analyst community smashed the stock with downgrade after downgrade. The company continues to under promise and over deliver, with results beating expectations quarter after quarter. The stock, though, has plunged $18 in the last month and now trades at less than its growth rate that has been reaching over 30% lately. The company is a more » Disclosure: Long SODA. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

There's Huge Potential Growth in the Americas for SodaStream

With all the recent news regarding the potential buyout of SodaStream (NASDAQ: SODA ) by the beverage industry giants PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP ) or Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO ) , one needs to keep an eye on whether or not that is even desirable. The home beverage machine maker still has tremendous growth left in the Americas, where soda consumption per-capita leads the world and greatly exceeds its home base of Western Europe. SodaStream’s more » Disclosure: Long SODA. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Don't Dump SodaStream Too Soon

The old saying, "where there's smoke, there's fire" applies mightily to the news on SodaStream ( SODA ) today. According to an Israeli website , PepsiCo Inc. ( PEP ) is exploring a deal that values the company at nearly $2 billion . The company is a leading manufacturer of home beverage carbonation systems sold at major retailers around the world with a primary target on growing in the Americas where soda usage is significantly higher than in Western Europe. The reports suggest that SodaStream is attempting to engage in a discussion with Coca-Cola ( KO ) in order to obtain the highest potential valuation. With so many details, it suggests that some form of discussion must be taking place. Typically though, the real facts get confused during the rumor spreading phase so a denial by PepsiCo might just be an indication of confusion on the actual suitor instead of a lack of a deal. Read the full article at Seeking Alpha. Disclosure: Long SODA. Pleas...

Disagreeing With Analysts On SodaStream

Now that SodaStream ( SODA ) has finally regained some interest from the market, the analyst community can't wait to downgrade the stock. The company continues to under promise and over deliver with results beating expectations quarter after quarter. The stock though recently stalled at $65 or only roughly 20x this year's "real" earnings estimates. The company is a leading manufacturer of home beverage carbonation systems sold at major retailers around the world with a primary target on growing in the Americas where soda usage is significantly higher than in Western Europe. The stock has historically traded at sub-growth rate multiples for various reasons whether from the company reporting in Euros or the current focus away from adjusted earnings. The question is whether the stock will reach multiples compared to its historical and forecasted growth rates or will it remain at a cheap valuation that appears crazy. Read the full article at Seeking...

SodaStream CEO On Bloomberg

Great interview on Bloomberg with the SodaStream (SODA) CEO Daniel Birnbaum. While the interview talks about a ton of growth at SOD, the title is very intriguing suggesting that the company is ok with eroding profits for growth. The CEO was very clear that any profit erosion was very minimal in order to service huge growth. Disclosure: Long SODA. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

SodaStream Commercial - Set The Bubbles Free

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SodaStream (SODA) just released a new commercial today attacking the likes of PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) and The Coca-Cola Company (KO) . As a long time investor in SODA my only hope is that it doesn't attract the angry of the sleeping giants. SODA doesn't have the balance sheet to fend off these companies yet. Though a buyout around $100 would be nice. lol See the new commercial below: Definitely an innovative story that should get the attention across regarding the ability to save the environment in the process of using the soda maker. One advantage to SODA is that the product can also be cheaper providing less incentive for PEP or KO to compete against them. Disclosure: Long SODA. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

SodaStream Makes Perfect Technical Bounce

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SodaStream (SODA) finally has  a bullish looking chart after a disastrous last year. The home beverage maker traded as high as $80 last year, but it now only fetches $37. This though the stock trades at a forward PE of 13 with a long term growth rate that will exceed 25%. While the market continues to debate whether this concept is just a fad or a long term growth story, the company has quiet but together some impressive growth and forecasts. Regardless of ones view on the long term prospects of the company, the stock bounced nicely off the 200ema this morning right around $36.40. For now, that is a good sign that SODA can be purchased. Figure - 9 Month Chart on SODA The stock made a similar run to $48 back in February, but eventually blew up and traded down to $29 by early May. Investors should understand that trading at just the growth rate of around 25 would lift the stock to $67.50. Even in this market, stocks with that growth rate are trading at...

Will SodaStream's First Report In U.S. Dollars Be The Catalyst For Gains?

Back on February 29th, SodaStream (SODA) announced Q411 results and provided a little nugget that apparently the whole market missed. The company announced a change to reporting in the U.S. currency (USD) effective January 1st, 2012. Anybody following this company has known that it has reported in euros (EUR) and provided a translation to the USD. This is common of foreign companies. The odd part though is that popular finance websites such as Yahoo Finance (see below Figure 1), Reuters, and probably most others continue to report the analyst estimates in euros. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha. Disclosure: Long SODA. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

The Benefits Of Fast Growing Beverage Makers Over Coca-Cola

A few days back, an interesting debate took place over whether investing in Coca-Cola (KO) or gold was a better long-term investment. Jim Grant made the point that gold had been the better investment since 1996, against an argument by Warren Buffett. Grant suggested that Coca-Cola was now the better option. That comment just about shocked me as he pointed out that it has a current PE of 19. Slow growing Coca-Cola with a $160B market cap is a value? Read the full article at Seeking Alpha. Disclosure: Long SODA. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

SodaStream Moving To US Currency

SodaStream (SODA) reported Q4'11 earnings this morning that vastly disappointed the market. The numbers were very solid and the guidance was much higher than estimates, but the market tends to hone onto the weakest numbers with SodaStream when valuing the company. The weakest number in Q4 was the meager 8% soda maker sales increase. Though the company has been clear that a lot of retailers pulled sales into Q3 accounting for the 60% increase last Q, the market just decides to act ignorant and sell the stock hard. My guess is that a ton of shorts chose to push the 'negative' number hard in order to exit a short position or to cause panic for larger gains. One analyst even went so far as to suggest that soda maker sales were decelerating which is a clear blatant misstatement. Every data point suggests that SodaStream distributors sold out for the holiday period, pulled sales into Q3, and management guided up for 2012. None of these data point suggests a problem down the ...

Is SodaStream About To Explode Higher?

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Based on the chart and earnings of associated stock Green Mountain Coffee (GMCR) , it sure appears that SodaStream (SODA) is about to explode higher. SodaStream's stock was crushed mid-year dropping from a high around $80 to a low around $30. Why? All due to very conservative guidance from a management team that continues to UPOD almost similar to the Apple (AAPL) history.  SodaStream has beaten estimates by nearly 60-80% a quarter since going public and naturally gave very conservative guidance for Q4. Why then did analysts completely take the number given by management? Amazingly analysts have actually guided towards a drop in earnings from $.25 to $.21 in Q411. That also equates to a 50% drop from Q311. How is that possible when Q4 is such a huge quarter in the US? It is very puzzling to us as well. As with Apple for years, analysts have quickly forgotten how management lead them towards the $.27 estimate in Q3, even though the company produced $.42. This brings us to ...

Widespread Stockouts of Sodastream Machines

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Don't know anything about Monness, Crespi, Hardt $ Co., but according to StreetInsider.com the company issued a note today indicating that Sodastream (SODA) had a great Christmas. This shouldn't be too surprising to anybody that follows SODA. The company has been reporting blowout numbers all year, but the stock cratered due to conservative guidance for the 2H of '11. The company already blasted past estimates in Q3 though it didn't help the stock. According to the report, Monness issued a report showing a recent survey of more than 1,500 retail locations around the US including Target, Staples, Best Buy, JCPenny, and Macy's showed very little supply in stock. The items were evidently selling lot hot cakes. The analyst estimates $.28 in Q4 which is above street estimates, but considerably below Q3 of $.42. Don't be shocked if SODA reports more mind boggling numbers this time as well. The stock has plunged this year from the $80s to currently around $34....