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Intel: Q2'26 Earnings Don't Impress

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Intel (INTC) jumped after reporting Q2 results that beat estimates, but the company didn't report impressive guidance for Q3. The semi. company only produced a Q2 EPS of $0.42 while guiding to only $0.38 for Q3. The results don't warrant a $100+ price. 

Intel: No Resolution To Foundry And AI Problems

Update - Oct. 23, 2025 Intel  beats weak guidance and hardly grows during an AI chip boom, market cheers anyway with weak guidance for Q4. The market just seems to get dumber and dumber. -Q3 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.23 beats by $0.22. -Revenue of $13.7B (+3.2% Y/Y) beats by $560M. Q4 Guidance  Revenue guidance of $13.4B vs. consensus of $13.37B EPS guidance of $0.08 consensus of $0.08 Original article posted on Oct. 7 Intel has surged despite no fundamental improvements in its foundry business or AI capabilities, making the rally appear irrational. The chip company has signed deals with Nvidia and the U.S. government for cash infusions provides liquidity but do not solve the lack of HPC foundry customers or AI solutions. IFS continues to report massive losses, and competitors like AMD and TSMC show no signs of meaningful collaboration with INTC on premium chips. The stock is extremely expensive at over 30x '27 EPS targets, investors are advised to use the rally to exit positions as ...

Intel Remains Broken

  Intel Corporation reported another mixed quarter in Q3, with relatively weak results while the market tries to celebrate earnings beating guidance. The chip company continues to focus on cutting costs and capex, while peers are moving full speed ahead with advanced AI GPUs and increasing foundry spending. The stock shouldn't be bought until Intel has turned around the business due to the stressed balance sheet and cash burn position. Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The Street get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios.  Learn More » Intel Corporation  ( NASDAQ: INTC )  stock jumped  after finalizing plans to slash thousands of jobs in a move that isn't a positive sign for the business. The once chip giant again  reported mixed results  in a sector with explosive growth. My  investment thesis  remains Bearish on the stock, especially on any major rally above $20. Read the full article on Seekin...

Intel: Spending Itself Into A Hole

  Intel Corporation reported Q1 2023 results that were better than feared, but the company burned a ton of cash during the March quarter. The chip giant saw net debt soar during the quarter due the loss, large capex spending and the payment of the last large dividend. Intel Corporation stock is expensive at $30 with debt soaring, and with the best expectations for an EPS to top $2 not until 2025 at the earliest. Intel Corporation  ( NASDAQ: INTC ) got a quick pop on better than feared  Q1 2023 results , but the numbers by no means were good. The chip giant saw its only growing business unit see  a related stock collapse during the day after reporting their earnings. My  investment thesis  remains Bearish on Intel as the business starts losing money while investing aggressively into a very uncertain future, adding a large amount of risk to the story. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No position mentioned. Please review the disclaime...

Intel: Mobileye Trap

  The Mobileye IPO price has been cut by 40% to start. Intel continues to face delays and lower valuations for assets impacting the value of the stock. Investors should avoid the stock until the business has hit rock bottom and an actual turn has occurred. This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Out Fox The Street.  Learn More »   Day after day,  Intel  ( NASDAQ: NASDAQ: INTC ) continues to cut expectations leading to less shareholder value. The latest news has the long expected Mobileye IPO coming out at a much lower valuation leading to less funds raised by the  chip giant. My  investment thesis  remains Bearish on the stock. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No position mentioned. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Intel: Still A Have Not

  Intel reported another quarter of weak results despite beating lowered guidance. The company forecasts a tough June quarter with another big EPS hit and revenues below expectations. The stock isn't exactly expensive around 13x forward EPS estimates, but Intel isn't appealing with the margin compression and negative trends. I do much more than just articles at Out Fox The Street: Members get access to model portfolios, regular updates, a chat room, and more.   Learn More » As with most recent quarters,  Intel  ( NASDAQ: INTC ) reported solid numbers compared to expectations, but the chip giant typically guides to ever increasingly weak numbers. The company is struggling with tough competition and taking on  risks by aggressive spending for the new fab strategy. My  investment thesis  remains very Bearish on the stock due to ongoing pressures on chip demand and market share losses. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No posit...

Intel: Better Lucky Than Good

Intel beat the Q3 revenue estimates due to luck from sales pulled forward and the immaterial nature of a competitor's ramp so far. Analysts are only forecasting the chip giant grows revenues in the 1% range while market share losses to AMD and Qualcomm will make this minimal target difficult. The stock trades at 12.3x forward EPS estimates while investors should expect estimate cuts. Intel  ( INTC ) has failed repeatedly over the last couple of years, yet the chip giant managed to  crush analyst estimates  in Q3. The company continues to prove it is better to be lucky than good as a prime competitor isn't able to ramp up supply of new chips fast enough to take meaningful market share in the near term. My  investment thesis  remains negative on the stock at the yearly highs despite the big quarterly beat. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No position mentioned. Please review the disclaimer page for more details.  ...

Intel Upside Capped By Yield

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Find it interesting that certain stocks appear to have capped upside based on the dividend yield.  Intel (INTC)  is such a stock when the yield hits the recent 2.4% levels. The stock might rally further to reach the recent highs, but the time to buy Intel is when the dividend yield tops 3.0%.  Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  More  commentary  on WhoTrades . Disclosure: No position. See the  disclaimer  page for more details.  

Intel: Don't Buy The Buyback Just Yet

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Intel (INTC) announced adding $15 billion to the share buyback plan bringing the total to $19.7 billion. On initial review, the amount isn't substantial enough to move the needle on the stock. Intel has a market cap of $215 billion so the total amount falls short of 10% of the outstanding shares. Based on history, the semiconductor giant isn't aggressive on share buybacks either. A net payout yield of 6.4% isn't impressive in a market with beaten down stocks. Besides, Intel wasn't that good with the last big buyback program in 2015 when the NPY topped 10% and the stock actually dipped. Stay tuned, more to come here based on whether Intel is actually aggressive buying shares on the dips. Disclosure: No position mentioned. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Intel Ups Net Payout Yield to Attractive Level

Yesterday,  Intel ( INTC )  upped its dividend to 72.48 cents (ok, what's up with the fractional cents?). This brings the dividend yield up to a very respectable 3.4%. Yet the dividend alone wouldn't make Intel a Net Payout Yield favorite. INTC also announced a $10B increase in the share repurchase plan, which increases the overall outstanding buyback to a whopping $14.2B.  See the rest of the article at Seeking Alpha . Subscribe to the Net Payout Yield Portfolio at Covestor - Net Payout Yields .  Disclosure: Long AAPL, CSCO, TXN, ACN. No position in INTC. 

Texas Instruments: Ignore the Headlines

Texas Instruments (TXN) provided updated guidance for Q3 last Thursday after the market closed and the headlines continue to suggest that TXN guided down or provided less then stellar results. The fact is that TXN guided to the exact midpoints as before - they raised the lower end and lowered the upper end by equal amounts. Why then does the media keep suggesting that TXN along with other semiconducter stocks like Intel (INTC) is forecasting a declining market? My guess is that nobody in the media actually read the TXN release. Here are the details from Q3 2010 Business Outlook : Revenue:  $3.62 – $3.78 billion , compared with the prior range of $3.55 – $3.85 billion EPS:  $0.66 – $0.72 , compared with the prior range of $0.64 – $0.74 . Lets analyze the facts: The revenue mid-point was $3.7B before and now its $3.7B. The EPS mid-point was $0.69 before and $0.69 after. The average analyst estimate is $0.69 and TXN reported $0.62 in Q2. Still looking for any negatives. ...

Stock Mutual Fund Outflows Continue Unabated

Typical herd mentality for investors to be piling into bond funds at record low interest rates. They did it in 2000 with tech stocks. They did it in 2006-07 with real estate on the coasts and now bonds. ICI reported that total equity funds had a $1.4B outflow last week and over $12B for the last five weeks. The positive news is that bond funds had a lot more money flow into them leaving the weekly net increase of nearly $6B. When the market turns it could be sudden and dramatic. Until then though, it'll be difficult to gain much ground with dry powder held by institutions such as mutual funds continually sucked out. 7/14/2010 7/21/2010 7/28/2010 8/4/2010 8/11/2010 Total Equity -3,192 -1,157 -4,074 -2,201 -1,427 Domestic -3,235 -1,402 -4,296 -2,122 -2,073 Foreign 43 246 222 -79 646 Hybrid 430 370 69 233 213 Total Bond 6,138 7,931 7,099 7,551 7,169 Taxable 5,200 6,944 6,112 6,350 5,788 Municipal 937 987 987 1...