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IB Net Payout Yields Model

Potash Pricing Floor Doesn't Signal a Recovery

The recent potash deals with China provided the market some hope for a floor in pricing, but investors shouldn't confuse that with a recovery. The pricing for potash slumped during 2013 due to a disagreement between the Belarusian partners of Belaruskali and OAO Uralkali. The high margins afforded North American potash producers were smashed, sending shares of PotashCorp  ( NYSE: POT     ) , Mosaic ( NYSE: MOS     ) , and Intrepid Potash ( NYSE: IPI     ) down to multi-year lows. Last week, agreements from both Canpotex (the North American marketing partnership between Potash, Mosaic, and Agrium ) and Uralkali were for 700,000 metric tons of potash in the first half of 2014 at market prices. Canpotex didn't disclose the price, while Uralkali accepted a settlement of $305 per metric ton. The pricing possibly provides for a global floor for potash prices, but it in no way indicates any recovery in pricing. Read the full article ...