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Potash: Still Not Liking Market Fundamentals

Summary Potash Corp generally exceeded Q214 estimates based on strong cost controls. The potash market to remain under pressure even if new growth targets are hit. Investors should consider the recent rebound in Potash Corp a gift that is contrary to the long-term fundamentals in the main fertilizer. The latest quarterly report from Potash Corp (NYSE: POT ) shows some improvements in the fertilizers markets. In a previous article , the question was whether any value existed in the potash stocks going forward. The real concern is that large miners like Rio Tinto (NYSE: RIO ) and BHP Billiton (NYSE: BHP ) have sights clearly on establishing potash mines and expanding market in this area due to historically higher margins. Read the full article at Seeking Alpha. Disclosure: No positions mentioned. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Why This Move From Rio Tinto Is Bad News for Potash Stocks

  The surprising decision by Rio Tinto ( NYSE: RIO     ) to move forward with a new potash mine has negative implications for the sector. The commodity already faces an oversupply issue, and BHP Billiton ( NYSE: BHP     ) desperately wants to move forward with a massive mine in Canada that would further pressure the commodity.  The news continues a bearish trend for PotashCorp ( NYSE: POT     ) , which continues to face increasing threats from competition that wants a share of the high margins for the commodity. The stock has seen a sharp rebound to the levels it traded at prior to the collapse of the Belarusian marketing arrangement about a year ago. Does the recent news from Rio Tinto portend a trend of supplies ready to pounce on any increase in potash demand that will halt the rise of potash stocks?  Read the full article here .  Disclosure: No positions mentioned. Please read the disclaimer page for more deta...

Rio Tinto Confirms Strong Commodity Demand

Interesting statement from Rio Tinto (RIO) ahead of an investor seminar. In summary, RIO continues to see strong demand for commodities not only now, but over the next 10 to 20 years. On the other hand, supply constraints remain due to regulatory issues, labor shortages, and geology constraints. Based on continued strong demand and supply issues, one would think the stock would be trading towards not only recent highs but also all times highs. That person would be very wrong. RIO is in fact down some 20% from February/April highs and not even close to the highs hit in 2008. The stock market disconnect just doesn't add up. Sure some commodities like Copper have plunged in the last few weeks, but prices remain close to all time highs. Clearly still at prices that suggest very healthy profits. One could easily argue that stock prices never reflected the commodity prices hit in the Spring. Even more precarious is the surging stock prices on some momentum stocks like Apple (AAPL)...