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Showing posts with the label IAAC

IB Net Payout Yields Model

Goldman Sachs Triple Top Breakout?

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Very interesting to see the stock of Goldman Sachs (GS) appear headed to a triple top breakout when just about every analyst has downgraded its earnings potential due to reduced trading profits and market activity. Not to mention that the stock is ramping prior to earnings just a week away on the 19th. Also, note the higher lows in the chart pattern suggesting further strength in the stock. The lower moving averages are about to cross the 200ema which is another very bullish sign. Though my portfolios have no position in GS, the stock is a leading indication of financials and the market in general. Right now the stock says the market is headed higher. Our favorites in this general area remain MF Global (MF) and International Assets (IAAC) both of which have been breaking out lately as well.

Very Weak Action in Our Small Cap Financials

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Not sure what to make of the very weak action in the stock prices of small financials like International Assets (IAAC - old FCSX) and Phoenix Cos (PNX) that Stone Fox Capital holds in the Growth Portfolio . Both were down nearly 8% today. Luckily we sold a good portion of IAAC earlier this week at $17.04. Unfortunately we didn't sell all of it! Both stocks are only 1.2% of our portfolio and we'll look to add to those positions on Monday assuming a lack of negative news. The move down could be related to quadruple witching today. Charts look very weak so buying is risky. IAAC at $14.50 has a natural stop there and PNX at $2.50 to start or all the way down to $2.20. IAAC is a commodity risk management firm that should benefit from a volatile commodity environment and fast growing emerging markets that consume alot more commodities. Unfortunately they make a significant portion of their profits from short term interest on customer account balances. Not so good when rates are histo...