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Update - July 17, 2025 Investors can now buy Ouster $18 below the recent secondary price. The stock is below the prior support/resistance line, but the Lidar sensor company is funded for Physical AI growth  Original article posted on July 4  Ouster, Inc. raised $200M, boosting pro forma cash to ~$375M, positioning for large-scale customer physical AI ramp-ups and inventory needs. The company has several customers with public disclosures of plans for rapid expansion for 10x to 100x unit growth. Management targets 30–50% annual growth, with potential for explosive acceleration as Physical AI applications proliferate. The stock currently trades at ~10x 2027 revenue targets, but consensus estimates may understate upside as major customers scale orders. Ouster, Inc.   ( OUST )  has suddenly become a Physical AI darling, but the market wasn't excited about a secondary offering. The LiDAR sensor company was wise to raise some additional funding as more customers look to ...

Update - June 11, 2025 Ouster surged 27% today on news of their digital Lidar being approved by the DoD for the Blue UAS Framework. The company doesn't have any news on actual contracts, but Ouster is now set up for future drone contracts.  -Ouster (NASDAQ:OUST) shares jumped 21% premarket on Wednesday after its OS1 digital lidar was approved by the Department of Defense for use in unmanned aerial systems.-Following a review of components and cybersecurity testing, the Defense Innovation Unit approved and added the Ouster OS1 to the Blue UAS Framework. The Ouster OS1 becomes the first high-resolution 3D lidar sensor approved under the Blue UAS Framework. Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The Street get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios.  Learn More » Original article posted on May 9 Ouster, Inc. reported strong Q1 2025 results with a solid revenue beat, signaling a potential inflection point. The company recently announced seve...

Updated - Jan. 2, 2025 Luminar Tech. has been crushed since reporting earnings and completing a reverse stock split. The other more speculative Lidar plays like Innoviz Tech. (INVZ) and AEye (LIDR) have both doubled by avoiding the reverse split.  Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The Street get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios.  Learn More » Original article posted on Nov. 13.  Luminar Technologies, Inc. is making progress with new deals, but financials remain weak, requiring patience for long-term gains. Volvo's EX90 production ramp and a second model with Iris LiDAR promise future revenue growth, despite current low sales. Luminar's insurance program could offer significant savings, potentially making LiDAR cost-effective for consumers. Despite frustrating financials, Luminar's strategic cost savings and production ramp-up suggest better financials by 2026. The autonomous driving sector continues to heat up, but  ...

Update - April 3 2024 Ouster is holding strong at $10 despite the analyst downgrade.  Chardan Research downgraded Ouster ( NYSE: OUST ) to a Neutral rating on Wednesday after having the stock set at Buy. Analyst Brian Dobson said the firm is moving to the sidelines with the lidar technology stock closing in on the $10 price target. Dobson  also noted that recent share price appreciation may have been bolstered by short covering action. He also warned that Chardan Research's forward price to revenue multiple on Ouster  has risen 150 basis points compared with the preceding six-month average for the metric. Original article posted on March 27 Ouster reported strong 2023 Lidar bookings of $142 million. The company's Q1'24 revenue guidance exceeds consensus estimates, indicating solid growth in the Lidar sensor market. Stock only has a market cap of $200 million, barely above the bookings level for last year. Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox ...

  Innoviz Technologies reported a blockbuster quarter with revenues surging 846%. The Lidar company made strong progress with key customers BMW and Volkswagen and grew a massive order book. The stock has a minimal market cap for the opportunity ahead while the company has reduced costs to limit cash burn. Last week,  Innoviz Technologies  ( NASDAQ: INVZ ) confirmed the company is moving full speed ahead with Lidar sensors entering production deals for the automotive market. The market just ignored the stellar growth and clear signs the company has exited  the pre-revenue phase. My  investment thesis  remains ultra-Bullish on the Lidar stock, which is still trading near the all-time lows. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No position mentioned. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Luminar Technologies is trading at all-time lows, but has a strong lineup and large contracts with auto manufacturers set to ramp in 2024. The company showcased its Lidar technology at CES 2024, featuring in various exhibits and debuting new features. The stock has a market cap of a fraction of the order book, forecast to have already topped $4.4 billion. Luminar Technologies  ( NASDAQ: LAZR ) is trading at the all-time lows, but the company recently highlighted a strong lineup at CES 2024. The Lidar company has several large contracts in place with large auto manufacturers, set to ramp  in 2024. My  investment thesis  is ultra Bullish on the stock, with investors abandoning ship while the prospects are the most positive. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No position mentioned. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Update - January 9, 2024 Ouster continues to hit targets setting up a likely rally in 2024 with a more bullish trend in Lidar stocks.  -Ouster, Inc. (NYSE:OUST) expects Q4 2023 revenue to be at or above the midpoint of the guidance range of $23 to $25 million previously provided on November 9, 2023. Original article posted on Nov. 28 Ouster, Inc. reports consistent bookings far exceeding quarterly revenues, with $114 million in bookings YTD. The company sees strong bookings tailwinds in the automotive and mapping segment, with binding commitments tripling purchases and an overall book-to-bill ratio of 2x. Ouster stock currently trades at nearly cash value and hardly above 1x '23 bookings. The Lidar sector continues to report spectacular growth, but stocks like  Ouster, Inc.  ( NYSE: OUST ) trade close to the lows. The non-automotive Lidar leader even reports spectacular bookings totals, yet the market is mostly ignoring the orders in  hand. My  investment thesis...

Update - Nov. 15 Good sign Luminar has finally hit bottom. The stock has rallied over 13% after the reversal on Nov. 14.  Original article posted on Nov. 10 Luminar Technologies, Inc. faces production start delays at a key partner that limited revenue ramp in 2023. The Lidar company was hit by multiple project delays in the last quarter, contributing to a Q3 2023 miss, though revenues should surge in Q4. The stock trades at a massive discount to the order book with a market cap of only $1.2 billion, making Luminar stock a speculative buy. Out Fox The Street members get exclusive access to our real-world portfolios. See all of our investments  here »   The Lidar sector faces a volatile ramp path due to the implementation of new technologies into auto production requiring years of testing and unpredictable new vehicle launches.  Luminar Technologies, Inc.  ( NASDAQ: LAZR ) is the latest company to get snarled in production start delays of a major auto manufacturer...

Update - Oct. 31, 2023 Innoviz is seeing a nice bounce about a week after the company confirmed strong guidance for the 2H. The Lidar forecast Q3 sales doubling sequentially, ye the stock trades at all-time lows.  Original article published on Oct. 12 Innoviz Technologies Ltd. completed a capital raise below the market price, causing the stock to plunge. The Lidar company eventually needed more capital to fund its business, but the timing and pricing of the offering spooked the market. Innoviz has boosted its revenue forecasts and has potential for growth, but investor confidence has been reduced. As with all speculative growth stocks, the last couple of months have been brutal for  Innoviz Technologies Ltd.  ( NASDAQ: INVZ ), which didn't help their cause with an unwarranted (in my view)  capital raise , causing the stock  to plunge. My  investment thesis  is ultra Bullish on the stock, but Innoviz has a lot to prove in the quarters ahead. Read the fu...

Update - Aug. 11, 2023 Ouster reported a solid quarter with the market keying on the big bookings numbers. The stock is only back to pre-split levels around $0.65.  -Revenue: $19M, up 13% QoQ, 88% YoY -Bookings: $43M, 126% Book-to-Bill -Non-GAAP gross margin: 26% -Targeting annual cost savings of $110M by Q4'23 Q3'23 revenue guidance: $20 - $22M Original article posted on May 14 Ouster reported solid Q1'23 numbers and guided towards Q2 revenues reaching $20 million. The Lidar sensor company reported Q1 binding bookings at $33 million. OUST stock is cheap at ~1x '24 sales targets despite growth rates approaching 100%. This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Out Fox The Street.  Learn More »   Ouster  ( NYSE: OUST ) collapsed over the last quarter following a perplexing Q4 earnings report leading to a reverse split. The Lidar company just announced the continuation of an automotive deal and the business appears back...

Update - May 22, 2023 Innoviz is rallying nearly 10% along with the general Lidar sensor space. All of the stocks are turning more bullish has production deals are starting to line up for the end of 2023 and into 2024.  Original article posted on May 18   Innoviz Technologies reported a mixed Q1 2023 earnings report, but the future is based on the strong order book. The Lidar sensor company announced another production auto deal, expected to reach production in 2024. Innoviz Technologies stock is cheap with a market cap of only $400 million, but shareholders face a potential dilutive equity raise in the next year. This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Out Fox The Street.  Learn More »   As 2023 heads towards the midpoint,  Innoviz Technologies Ltd.  ( NASDAQ: INVZ ) is quickly moving toward shipping Lidar sensors for production autonomous vehicles. The Lidar company even sees programs with accelerated paths to...

Update - May 18, 2023 Apparent massive insider buying by the CEO. Russell Austin appears to have bought 3.6 million shares for $21.6 million in the prior couple of trading days.  Update - Apr. 20  Despite all the good news, Luminar trades back to nearly $6. The stock appears to have strong support around this area. While it isn't clear when investors will finally believe the bullish stories in the Lidar space, it will eventually occur. Investors buying weakness will be rewarded.  Original article posted on Apr. 18  Luminar announces plans for another Lidar sensor factory to build another 600K sensors annually. The company already has a backlog of $3.4 billion with a forecast to reach $4.4 billion this year. LAZR stock is cheap trading near all-time lows despite continuing to line up new orders and building more factories to meet targets for 100% growth. In a somewhat surprising announcement,  Luminar Technologies  ( NASDAQ: LAZR ) is suddenly buil...

Update - Apr. 10 Ouster announced a reverse split effective April 21. The announcement is not a surprise with the stock trading below $1 again and traders pressuring for the move.  Ouster (NYSE:OUST) board of directors has approved a 1-for-10 reverse stock split, par value $0.001 per share. It is expected to become effective on Thursday, April 20, 2023 and trade on NYSE on April 21, 2023 under the existing symbol "OUST".  Original article posted on Mar. 30 Ouster reported Q4'22 results, but the company provides limited details on the Velodyne Lidar business. The Lidar company closed the merger on February 10 with confirmed guidance for combined Q4'22 revenues of at least $23 million. Ouster guided to Q1'23 revenues of only $16 million without providing a complete picture of Velodyne Lidar revenues. OUST stock trades below 4x the '22 bookings of Ouster alone, yet the lack of combined pro forma financials leaves a lot of unanswered questions. This idea was discu...

  Update - Mar. 27, 2023 Ouster missed a great opportunity to promote the combined business of Velodyne Lidar and Ouster and the company decided to pass. The stock trades below $1 for this reason and management has to own this incompetence.  -Q4 GAAP EPS of -$0.23 misses by $0.03. -Revenue of $10.94M (-7.7% Y/Y) misses by $4.9M. -Secured company record $70 million in bookings in 2022 - Q1'23 revenue guidance of $15 to $17 million, excludes Velodyne revenues through merger close on Feb. 10. The Q4 revenue total was closer to $25 million and the Q1'23 pro-forma revenue total was probably closer to $21 million.   Update - Mar. 15, 2023 Pretty nice deal here with 100 Lidar sensors shipped at the end of '22. Ouster shouldn't be trading back below $1.  -Fieldin has already deployed dozens of kits at its customers’ farms and plans to deploy over 100 autonomy retrofit kits on tractors, each equipped with an Ouster OS1, to major customers across the United States in 2023. Ous...