Out Fox The $treet

  Twitter falls 7% after Elon Musk announces plans to terminate the acquisition of the social media company for $54.20. The company appears to have a rock-solid contract to force Mr. Musk to complete the deal or settle for a sum in excess of the $1 billion breakup fee. Based on a per mDAU value, Twitter has already lost 60% of their value since the covid peak last year. The stock has immediate 60% upside on the unlikely close of the deal, or a larger user base to support higher stock prices when the economy improves. Elon Musk attempting to terminate the  Twitter  ( NYSE: TWTR ) merger is no surprise. The unknown has always been any outcome of an attempt by the social media company to sue Musk. Either way, Twitter doesn't face a  'code red' event  as suggested by a prominent analyst. My  investment thesis  remains ultra-bullish on the stock following a likely dip, as traders exit a position with a hoped for outcome of $54.20 per share. Read the full ar...

  Musk continues to file complaints regarding the Twitter spam account issue causing fears the deal won't close at the agreed upon price. The company continues to fight back on the bot issue with the data suggesting the parties are talking about different issues. The stock has immediate 30% upside on the unlikely close of the deal, or a larger user base to support higher stock prices when the economy improves. This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Out Fox The Street.  Learn More »   As Elon Musk continues to complain about the bots on  Twitter  ( NYSE: TWTR ), the stock is at a crossroads. The deal offers 31% upside from here for shareholders holding out for the offer price, but Twitter likely faces  considerable downside on a deal termination. My  investment thesis  continues to remain Bullish on the stock long term after a correction on the deal cancelation, if investors don't make a quick gain on ...

  Pinterest hasn't seen much of a bounce after solid Q1'22 results with a market stuck on user growth issues. The company has the ability to vastly expand the monetization of the user base. The stock is cheap at less than 4x '23 revenue targets with a path to far higher revenues over time with or without future user growth. This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Out Fox The Street.  Learn More » As the social media space faces drama with the  Twitter  ( TWTR ) buyout by Elon Musk taking a different twist every day, the market mostly ignored the better than feared  Q1'22 results  by  Pinterest  ( NYSE: PINS ). A research report suggesting the digital ad market will more than double by 2026 makes Pinterest a strong investment target after normalization following Covid pull forwards. My  investment thesis  remains very Bullish on the stock trading back close to the lows. Read the full article ...

Twitter reported a strong Q1'22 earnings report. The company has constantly grown users in the 15% to 20% range for years despite the opposite market view. The stock was not sold for a premium price and the deal being voted down could unlock more upside. This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Out Fox The Street.     Learn More » The one major concern with  Twitter  ( NYSE: TWTR ) suddenly accepting the Elon Musk deal was fears over weak results. The company actually reported  solid Q1'22 numbers  with the growth most market pundits suggest  doesn't exist. My  investment thesis  remains Bullish on the social media company moving on from the deal in hand currently. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: Long TWTR. Please review the disclaimer page for more details.  Update - May 16 Take the $1B from Musk and run a better company....pretty simple. -With the odds of his $44 ...

Elon Musk offered to take Twitter private with a $54.20 offer. The company has a 20% annual growth plan apparently ignored by most in the market. The deal price doesn't offer a premium valuing the stock at less than just 6x well-documented 2023 revenue targets of $7.5 billion. This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Out Fox The Street.   Learn More » In a somewhat surprise move, Elon Musk made a sudden unsolicited offer to acquire  Twitter  ( NYSE: TWTR ) only days after deciding to not join the Board of Directors. The market had a mixed reaction due  to the lowball price likely to be rejected by the company potentially leading to Musk selling his 9.2% stake. My  investment thesis  remains Bullish on the social media site as the offer continues to show the vast value here. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: Long TWTR. Please review the disclaimer page for more details.  Update - Apr....

  Elon Musk acquires more than 9% of Twitter. The company has long struggled with growing ad revenues inline with Facebook in part due to executives not actually using Twitter. The stock is cheap at 5x forward EV/S targets with the potential for the business to accelerate growth to match the influence of the social platform. The potential exists for Musk to buy the stock at a higher price, but that isn't the base case here. This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Out Fox The Street.  Learn More » The biggest news of the day was Elon Musk  acquiring 9.2%  of the struggling social media site. The news that Musk apparently wants to take a crack at improving  Twitter  ( NYSE: TWTR ) is an encouraging move considering the  fears of him starting a competing platform in the lines of  Truth Social  ( DWAC ) being built by Trump. My  investment thesis  remains very Bullish on the stock despite th...

  Twitter CEO and Co-Founder Jack Dorsey steps down immediately replaced by the relatively unknown current CTO. The social media company is on the cusp of game-changing subscription services and could use a focused CEO. The stock is a buy trading at less than 6x forward EV/S, but the CEO change is no guarantee of immediate success. This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Out Fox The Street.  Learn More » The big market moving news of the day was that  Twitter  ( TWTR ) CEO Jack Dorsey  stepped down immediately . The stock is now down on the day, as the market probably wanted an external candidate or an outright sell of the business for a quick gain. My  investment thesis  remains Bullish on the stock looking for focused leadership to build out the subscription business to accelerate growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: Long TWTR. Please review the disclaimer page for more detai...

  Twitter finally launched the Blue subscription service in the U.S. The company is building a suite of subscription services that now include Super Followers and Ticketed Spaces. The stock is cheap with subscription services leading to the company beating 2023 revenue targets of $7.5 billion. This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Out Fox The Street.  Learn More » While Twitter ( TWTR ) investors are probably blue over the recent stock action, the full launch of the Twitter Blue service is a big step forward for the business. The social media player moving beyond a digital ad business into subscriptions provides a substantial boost to the market valuation. My  investment thesis  remains very bullish on the stock after this dip back to the low $50s. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: Long TWTR. Please review the disclaimer page for more details.  Update - Nov. 22 Appears Twitter is headed to ...

  Pinterest continues to trade near the lows of 2021 as user questions mount with the tough comps from the COVID-19 shutdowns. The social media platform has grown revenues by 50% in the last year and should maintain solid revenue growth due to higher ARPUs. The stock isn't cheap at 10x EV/S multiple, but investors should buy the company on a market induced dip. Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The Street get exclusive access to our model portfolio.  Learn More » The stock market can be a fickle place with a company valued based on the last quarterly results, not the normal growth rates of the business.  Pinterest  ( PINS ) is a prime example of a business that boomed during COVID-19 lockdowns and is now struggling with tough comps. My  investment thesis  is turning more Bullish on the stock after the excess valuations of early 2021. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: Long TWTR. Please review the disc...