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IB Net Payout Yields Model

Top 10 Net Payout Yield Stocks For September 2014

Summary Top net payout yield stocks outperformed the market in August. The top ten net payout yield stocks average 12.6% yields to start August. CF Industries and Illinois Tool Works jumped to the top of the list with massive stock buybacks.  This article is a continuation of a monthly series highlighting the top net payout yield (NYSE: NPY ) stocks that was started back in June, 2012 (see article ) and explained in August, 2012 (see article ). The series highlights the best stocks for the upcoming month. Please review the original articles for more information on the NPY concept. Read the full article at Seeking Alpha. Disclosure: Long CTL, KSS, NLY, NOC, SDRL, TRV, WLP. Please review the disclaimer page for more details.

Top 10 Net Payout Yield Stocks For July 2013

This article is a continuation of a monthly series highlighting the top net payout yield stocks that was started back in June, 2012 (see article ) and explained in August, 2012 (see article ). The series highlights the best stocks for the upcoming month. Please review the original articles for more information on the net payout yield concept. June Returns Below are two charts highlighting the monthly returns of the top 10 stocks from June (see list here ). Due to limitations with YCharts, the chart was broken into the Top 5 and Next 5 lists. Read the full article at Seeking Alpha. Disclosure: Long AMP, DTV, KSS, WPL. Please read the disclaimer page for more details.

Top 10 Net Payout Yield Stocks For June 2013

This article is a continuation of a monthly series highlighting the top net payout yield stocks that was started back in June, 2012 (see article ) and explained in August, 2012 (see article ). The series highlights the best stocks for the upcoming month. Please review the original articles for more information on the net payout yield concept. May Returns Below are two charts highlighting the monthly returns of the top ten stocks from May (see list here ). Due to limitations with YCharts, the chart was broken into the Top 5 and Next 5 lists. The Top 5 stocks had a strong May after a weak April. American International Group ( AIG ), DirecTV ( DTV ) , and Kohl's ( KSS ) had strong gains for the month that easily beat the 2.3% gain of the S&P 500. Seagate Technology ( STX ) though smashed those performances with a phenomenal 17.4% gain. The only disappointment was that L Brands ( LTD ) dropped 0.8% for the month. Read the full article at Seeking Alpha. Disclos...

Investment Report: Net Payout Yields Model - May 2013

This model was up 3.4% in April versus a 1.8% gain for the benchmark S&P 500. The model out performed the market in April to build onto a solid start from the first quarter of 2013. As of the end of April, the model was up nearly 15.1% for the year compared to 12.0% for the S&P 500.   In general, the model remains very uneventful with only one trade for the month. Bottom Performers Since the model had a strong month, only a couple of stocks had a negative return for April. The weakest stock was Motorola Solutions (MSI) with a loss of over 10%. Only a few other stocks even posted a loss and none of those are worth mentioning. Motorola Solutions reported a weak quarterly report that sent the stock down significantly. The theory of the model doesn’t care about the fundamentals of the company so the key will be whether the management team continues to buyback stock and pay dividends. With a dividend yield of only 1.8%, the key with this stock will...

Top 10 Net Payout Yield Stocks For May 2013

This article is a continuation of a monthly series highlighting the top net payout yield stocks that was started back in June, 2012 (see article ). The series highlights the best stocks for the upcoming month. Please review the original article for more information on the net payout yield concept. April Returns Below are two charts highlighting the monthly returns of the top 10 stocks from April (see list here ). Due to limitations with YCharts, the chart was broken into the Top Five and Next Five lists. The Top Five stocks had a disappointing month after a strong April. American International Group ( AIG ) and Kohl's ( KSS ) had solid gains for the month that easily beat the 2.4% gain of the S&P 500. Both Seagate Technology ( STX ) and DirecTV ( DTV ) performed ok with flat results for the month. The biggest problem was that Motorola Solutions ( MSI ) plunged 10.2% after an earnings warning. Read the full article at Seeking Alpha. Disclosure: Long all sto...

Top 10 Net Payout Yield Stocks For 2013

This article is a continuation of a monthly series highlighting the top net payout yield stocks that was started back in June, 2012 (see article ). The series highlights the best stocks for the upcoming month. Please review the original article for more information on the net payout yield concept. March Returns Below are two charts highlighting the monthly returns of the top ten stocks from March (see list here ). Due to limitations with YCharts, the chart was broken into the Top 5 and Next 5 lists. The Top 5 stocks had a huge month after a weak February. Seagate Technology ( STX ) and DirecTV ( DTV ) had huge gains in March that easily offset the substantial 5% losses in February. DirecTV had a smashing 17.5% gain followed by 13.7% for Seagate. WellPoint ( WLP ) followed the February loss as well, with a 6.5% gain in March. Both Motorola Solutions ( MSI ) and Kohl's ( KSS ) also had small gains, though smaller than the 3.8% gain of the S&P 500. Read the ful...

Top 10 Net Payout Yield Stocks For March 2013

This article is a continuation of a monthly series highlighting the top net payout yield stocks that was started in June, 2012 (see article ). The series highlights the best stocks for the upcoming month. Please review the original article for more information on the net payout yield concept. February Returns Below are two charts highlighting the monthly returns of the top ten stocks from February (see list here ). Due to limitations with YCharts, the chart was broken into the Top 5 and Next 5 lists. Read the full article at Seeking Alpha. Disclosure: Long AMP, DTV, KSS, MSI, NLY, NOC, and WLP. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Top 10 Net Payout Yield Stocks For February 2013

This article is a continuation of a monthly series highlighting the top net payout yield stocks that was started in June, 2012 (see  article ). The series highlights the best stocks for the upcoming month. Please review the original article for more information on the net payout yield concept. January Returns Below are two charts highlighting the monthly returns of the top ten stocks from January (see list  here ). Due to limitations with YCharts, the chart was broken into the Top 5 and Next 5 lists. Read the full article at Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: Long AMP, COP, DTV, KSS, MSI, NLY, and WLP. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Top 10 Net Payout Yield Stocks For January

This article is a continuation of a monthly series highlighting the top net payout yield stocks that was started in June (see article ). The series highlights the best stocks for the upcoming month. Please review the original article for more information on the net payout yield concept. December Returns Below are two charts highlighting the monthly returns of the top 10 stocks from December (see list here ). Due to limitations with YCharts, the chart was broken into the Top 5 and Next 5 lists. Read the full article at Seeking Alpha. Disclosure: Long AMP, COP, DTV, KSS, MSI, NLY, WLP. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Investment Report - December 2012: Net Payout Yields

This model was up 0.01% in November versus a 0.3% gain for the benchmark S&P 500. The model slightly under performed the market in November, which can happen in solidly positive months. As of the end of November, the model was up nearly 20% for the year compared to 12.5% for the S&P 500.   In general, the model had a very uneventful month with flat returns and no trades. Bottom Performers While the model was flat for the month, several stocks had meaningful moves in November. The weakest stocks were Kohl’s Corporation (KSS), WellPoint, Inc. (WLP) and Entergy Corporation (ETR) . Kohl’s lost nearly 16% due to a weak earnings report at the end of the month. The stock plunged from nearly $51 to below $46 on disappointing sales. The company continues a large buyback and should be able to load up on shares at these attractive levels. WellPoint plunged at the beginning of November due to the re-election of President Barack Obama, which secure...

Top 10 Net Payout Yield Stocks For December

This article is a continuation of a monthly series highlighting the top net payout yield stocks that was started in June (see article ). The series highlights the best stocks for the upcoming month. Please review the original article for more information on the net payout yield concept. November Returns Below are two charts highlighting the monthly returns of the top 10 stocks from November (see original list here ). Due to limitations with YCharts, the chart was broken into the Top 5 and Next 5 lists. Read the full article at Seeking Alpha. Disclosure: Long AMP, COP, DTV, GS, KSS, MSI, NLY, WLP. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Top 10 Net Payout Yield Stocks For November

This article is a continuation of a monthly series highlighting the top net payout yield stocks that was started in June (see article). The series highlights the best stocks for the upcoming month. Net Payout Yields Defined The net payout yield is the combination of the dividend yield and the net buyback yield added together to calculate the yield returned to shareholders. The net buyback yield adds stock repurchases and subtracts shares issued. The yield is calculated using the amount of buybacks over the last four quarters divided by the current market cap. Read the full article at Seeking Alpha. Disclosure: Long COP, DTV, GS, KSS, MSI, WLP. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Top 10 Net Payout Yield Stocks For October

This article is a continuation of a monthly series highlighting the top net payout yield stocks that was started in June (see article). The series highlights the best stocks for the upcoming month. Net Payout Yields Defined The net payout yield is the combination of the dividend yield and the net buyback yield added together to calculate the yield returned to shareholders. The net buyback yield adds stock repurchases and subtracts shares issued. The yield is calculated using the amount of buybacks over the last four quarters divided by the current market cap. Read the full article at Seeking Alpha. Disclosure: Long COP, GS, KSS, MSI, and WLP. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Investment Report - September 2012: Net Payout Yields

--> This model was up 4.8% in August versus a 2.0% gain for the benchmark S&P 500. The model rebounded sharply from a weak performance in July. Trades As mentioned previously, one goal of this model is to slowly trim the amount of positions back closer to 20 after reaching 26 a few months back due to mergers and partial positions. Hence, the model only made a sell during August to reduce the position total down to 24. Express Scripts (ESRX) was sold as the merger with Medco Health (MHS) led to the reduction of share buybacks. Considering the company doesn’t pay dividends, it left the Net Payout Yield (NPY) heading towards zero. The stock was sold at $62.49 on the spike higher following strong earnings. This sell further highlights the ability of the model to be opportunistic when a position no longer meets the set criteria. Instead of having a rigid sell point at a quarter end, the model is able to trade positions when the market presents an ideal time. ...

Top 10 Net Payout Yields For August

This article is a continuation of a series highlighting the top net payout yield stocks that was started in June (see article) and repeated in July (see article). The series is meant to highlight the best stocks for the upcoming month so this report is clearly late. Though with the majority of the month left, it is still worth reviewing last month's results and the updated list as of data from August 10th. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha. Disclosure: Long all positions mentioned. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Investment Report - August 2012: Net Payout Yields

This model was down 0.5% in July versus a 1.3% gain for the benchmark S&P 500. Oddly the model has fluctuated a lot in recent months with large cap stocks in the model moving up or down 10% on earnings reports. While typical of smaller companies this usually doesn’t happen in companies with market caps exceeding $10B. Trades As mentioned previously, one goal of this model is to slowly trim the amount of positions back closer to 20 after reaching 26   due to mergers and partial positions. Hence, the model sold the remaining holdings in Home Depot (HD) and added to existing small positions in Hartford Financial (HIG) and WellPoint (WLP). Home Depot was unloaded as the stock finished a long run from October last year where the stock went from just over $30 to the selling price over $51. This considerable gain pushed the Net Payout Yield (NPY) down as the company dropped buybacks. Not to mention that competitor Lowes (LOW) remains a Top 5 holding. The two purcha...

Investment Report - July 2012: Net Payout Yields

This model was up 5.2% in June versus a 4.0% gain for the benchmark S&P 500. As expected the model jumped back after a weak May as investors jumped back into high yielding stocks. Trade No trades were made this month, but several stocks remain on the radar to sell as dividend stocks continue to outperform the market. Some of these stocks are reaching valuation levels were capital gains are likely to be limited for possibly the next few years. Bottom Performers With a strong market in June, it is always worthwhile to review the losing stocks to confirm the long term story remains intact. The model ended the month with 26 stocks, which is slightly higher than normal, and only two stocks had a negative price change. WellPoint (WLP) was particularly weak following the Supreme Courts upholding of Obamacare.  The stock had a nice gain for June until the ruling came out and caused the stock to plummet from near $70 to close the month at $63.79. The company ha...

Strong Results From Stocks With Disappearing Shares

Widely ignored by the market are the stocks that continuously reduce shares outstanding via buybacks. Buybacks routinely obtain a bad rap due to the focus on high profile failures such as Cisco Systems (CSCO) that have had stock blowups after buying at higher prices. Not focusing on the total population of stocks makes such analysis invalid. On balance, companies that reduce outstanding shares provide for higher earnings per share and stronger rewards to shareholders. Naturally the price paid is crucial, but any company that is actively buying back shares over multiple years will ultimately dollar cost average at attractive prices. When focusing on large, financially strong companies instead of the speculative growth stocks the results are typically better. Investors should look for stocks that year after year reduce the outstanding shares and in essence slowly take the company private. Without lifting a finger, shareholders own a much larger percentage of the earnings of the below st...

Investment Report - May 2012: Net Payout Yields

This model gained a solid 0.8% in April versus a 0.7% loss for the benchmark S&P 500. The model remained strong all month even as the SP500 fluctuated all month. Trade No trades were made in the month of April as existing positions continued to work well with high yields. Top Performers Considering the market was slightly down and the model was only slightly up, not many positions had outside moves. The biggest gainers were Gap (GPS), Travelers (TRV) , and Chubb (CB). All three companies had very strong earnings partially helped out by the large buyback programs over the last year. Bottom Performers Just as with the top performers, not many stocks had outside negative moves in the month. The biggest losers were Conoco Phillips (COP), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Wellpoint (WLP) with all three companies losing more than 5%. Conoco Phillips had disappointing earnings that naturally pushed down the stock. The other two had surprisingly good earnings eve...

Investment Report - April 2012: Net Payout Yields

This model gained a solid 4.3% in March versus 3.1% for the benchmark S&P 500. The model remained strong all month even as the SP500 struggled toward the end of the month.   Trade March was a normal trading month for this model with only 1 trade initiated in order to reduce the cash balance. Time Warner (TWX) was bought as the stock flashed one of the highest Net Payout Yields in the over $10B market cap group with a huge buyback. The stock also maintains a strong 2.9% dividend providing for that investor class as well. For more details on why Time Warner was selected, please read this article . Top Performers The largest gains came from Lowes (LOW) , WellPoint (WLP) , Gap (GPS) , and Goldman Sachs (GS) along with several other stocks that had solid gains. Most of those stocks saw gains that exceeded 10%. Typical of a model that allows for trading signals based on an indicator such as the Net Payout Yield, a stock like Goldman Sachs was purchased ...