Out Fox The $treet

  Twilio's stock has surged over 100% recently, driven by excitement around its 2025 financial targets, but the growth outlook remains modest at 7%-8%. The company aims for $825-$850 million in free cash flow by 2025, with operating margins improving from 16% in 2024 to 21% by 2027. Analysts have raised price targets towards the current price, but the stock may stagnate as the market shifts focus from 2027 projections back to current year targets. The stock trades at over 20x 2027 EPS targets, limiting future upside after this big rally. Twilio, Inc.  ( NYSE: TWLO ) has soared due to excitement surrounding financial targets for the next 3 years. The CPaaS stock has now soared far over 100% in the last few months on rather limited changes to the financial picture. My  investment thesis  is still Neutral on the stock after this massive rally, looking towards an exit on further gains. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No position mentioned....

AMD updated their long-term financial targets at Financial Analyst Day 2020 to levels supportive of higher stock prices. The company guided to >20% revenue growth and 25% operating margins eliminating a long-held investor view of limited profits. The conservative outlook is for 2023 revenues of $15.0 billion and 2024 revenues at $18.0 billion suggesting revenues doubling from 2020 levels. My long-term model has an $18.75 billion revenue target (25% market share) and a $3.72 EPS. On March 5,  Advanced Micro Devices  ( AMD ) held their  Financial Analyst Day for 2020 . Despite the DJIA dipping nearly 1,000 points on the day and the COVID-19 fears spreading around the globe, the management team stayed focused on the long term. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No positions mentioned. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Under Armour provided 2023 financial targets at an Investor Day. The athletic apparel company has long-term plans for 10%+ operating margins. Based on company projections and peer margins, my 2023 EPS projection approaches $2. In a much anticipated event where   Under Armour   ( UA ,   UAA ) discussed long-term growth targets, the market was apparently disappointed with the updated 2023 projections. My   bullish investment thesis   has long held that the athletic apparel company was under-delivering on margins, and their updated business model actually reinforces that thesis despite the initial 10% dip in the stock. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha. Disclosure: Long UA. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Last night Lihua International (LIWA) held an investor day at their HQ and manufacturing facilities. Ok, so it was really 10am local time in China, but it was at 9pm my time. The presentation portion included a video link for those that couldn't make the trip to be there in person. Since LIWA has been caught up in the Chinese RTO conspiracy ring, it was at least symbolically important for them to host an investor day for analysts and the media to get to meet the company management and tour facilities. The stock only bounced 2% on a very low volume of 102K shares showing how these events just don't resonate with investors that can easily discount anything they see as staged. What it will really take is analyst coverage from some major Wall Street firms or just time to elapse as the Chinese companies still standing will eventually be seen as legit. The presentation was mostly a rehash of the data from the Q1 call or in the Piper Jaffray China Growth conference from last we...