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Serve Robotics: Immaterial Progress

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Update - May 7, 2026 Still blown away that the 2026 revenue target isn't even 50% of the revenue potential of the 2,000 delivery robots placed in service at the end of 2025, much less the opportunity to expand and the addition of hospital robots. -Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of -$0.50 beats by $0.01. -Revenue of $3M (+581.8% Y/Y) misses by $0.03M. -The Company is reaffirming its 2026 financial guidance of approximately $26 million in full year revenue (consensus at $25.99M); and 2026 Non-GAAP operating expense of $160 to $170 million. Serve Robotics only reported Q1 daily active robots at just 812. The company was only running at 40% capacity.  Original article posted on March 11 Serve Robotics Inc. remains in early-stage scaling, with 2,000 robots deployed but Q4 revenue at only $0.88 million. SERV's current per-robot revenue is $1,185 per quarter, far below the $7,500 needed to meet its $60–80 million annual revenue goal. Management guided to only $26 million in 2026 revenue, significant...

Serve Robotics: Intriguing After The Reset

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Update - Apr. 14, 2025  Serve Robotics was chased into the $20s, but doesn't appear very loved in the $5s now. The only change to the story is the better understanding of the new 2,000 delivery robots pushed out towards 2026 with the delivery dates very late in 2025.  Original article published on March 19 Serve Robotics faces significant expansion challenges, aiming to grow from 50 to 2,000 delivery robots by year-end, with revenues lagging behind expectations. The stock has dropped to $7, presenting a more appealing entry point, despite anticipated volatility and potential revenue disappointments in the short term. The company raised $80 million, boosting its cash reserves to over $200 million, but must improve robot productivity and manage escalating costs. Investors should consider buying shares now, but be prepared for a bumpy ride as Serve Robotics scales operations and strives to meet aggressive financial targets. As investors were warned,  Serve Robotics Inc. ...