Out Fox The $treet

Update - June 9, 2023 Tesla is now working with both Ford and General Motors on charging stations. ChargePoint appears in a bad spot now with the stock headed for new lows.  -General Motors (NYSE:GM) announced a collaboration with Tesla to integrate the North American Charging Standard connector design into its electric vehicles beginning in 2025. -The collaboration between the legacy Detroit auto powerhouse and Austin electric vehicle giant will expand access to charging for General Motors (GM) EV drivers at 12K Tesla Superchargers. The agreement is said to complement GM's ongoing investments in charging, as well as reinforce the focus on expanding charging access across home, workplace, and public spaces. The charging deal builds on the more than 134K chargers available to GM EV drivers today through the company's Ultium Charge 360 initiative and mobile apps. Original article posted on May 31 ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. is set to report FQ1 2024 earnings on Thursday June 1 pos...

  ChargePoint insiders have filed to sell up to 13.8 million shares. These selling shareholders will still control ~140 million shares after the offering, placing a cap on the stock until more selling is done. The stock remains insanely expensive at 17x FY24 sales targets. Looking for more investing ideas like this one? Get them exclusively at Out Fox The Street.  Learn More » In no huge surprise, insiders are filing to sell shares of  ChargePoint Holdings  ( CHPT ) with the stock up substantially from the IPO and PIPE prices. The timing though is questionable since ChargePoint has recently fallen from the highs and took another 10% hit on the offering news. My  investment thesis  remains very negative on the stock and the EV charging station space due to weak financial results and ramping up competition. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No position mentioned. Please review the disclaimer page for more details.  Update - July ...

Nikola has a long list of promises to meet in order to reach substantial out year revenue targets. The stock currently has a $15 billion market cap due to 425 million fully diluted shares outstanding. The company remains a 2024 revenue story. Investors need to realize Nikola has 200% upside, but the stock has 90% downside risk over the next few years. As with most IPOs and newly public companies, the initial earnings report is very volatile. The  Q2 earnings report  for  Nikola  ( NKLA ) was no different from the general market despite the unique method of going public via a SPAC. Whether or not to invest in the stock is more related to whether the zero emissions commercial transportation system company can meet staled promises. My  investment thesis  remains negative on the stock, considering the huge jump in the public float and the massive valuation for a company that hasn't delivered on revenues yet. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclo...

  Investors negative on   Tesla (TSLA)   are possibly too focused on quarterly delivery numbers. Telsa has a potentially bright future in an autonomous fleet that earns owners money when they aren't using the vehicle. At least, Elon Musk sees such a future as a competitor against   Lyft (LYFT)   and   Uber (UBER) .  

Mobileye easily surpassed Q2 analyst estimates. Ending a partnership with Tesla Motors is a big red flag on whether Mobileye will maintain a technology lead. The stock is richly valued, considering the profit margins are unsustainable due to the low spending levels. The  Q2 results  for  Mobileye (NYSE: MBLY )  were phenomenal on all metrics. The assisted driver technology leader though faces some challenges going forward, especially in relation to stock value. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No position

Throughout 2011 and into 2012, the high cost of oil-based fuels and the low cost of natural gas stoked excitement over several stocks designing vehicles that run on alternative energy. Among this crowd, two companies have really stood out -- and ironically, they've taken opposite directions during the last year, providing a potential catch up period for the laggard. With a focus on natural-gas engines for trucks, Westport Innovations ( NASDAQ: WPRT     ) soared into the start of 2012. But the stock has spent the last 18 months losing 40% of its value. Conversely, Tesla Motors ( NASDAQ: TSLA     ) focused on building premium electric cars and had a more muted stock performance before its well-discussed 400% gain over the past 12 months. Now, the question is whether Westport can reignite its previous excitement, and catch up to Tesla's gains. Read the full article here . Disclosure: No positions mentioned. Please review the disclaimer page for...

Last week,  Halcon Resources (NASDAQ: RAM ) announced a secondary offering of up to 43.7 million shares that caused the stock to crash. The stock traded at $6 for a few days prior to offering announcement, though typical of any “surprise” secondary, the plunge provides an opportunity to scoop up shares of a good company. The company is a growing oil exploration and production firm heavily indebted from an asset more » Disclosure: No positions mentioned. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Historical research from Schaeffer’s shows that stocks entering the Nasdaq-100 shouldn’t be bought at that point. Typically the best stock to buy is the one leaving an index such as the Nasdaq-100. In the normal scenario, a company that leaves such a big index has faced a couple of weak years and the exclusion from the list places extra pressure on the stock. In essence, a catalyst that more » Disclosure: No positions mentioned. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

After the close on Wednesday, Tesla Motors, Inc. ( TSLA ) reported a surprising profit beat for Q113 that sent the stock soaring in the two trading days after the report. The stock that closed Wednesday regular trading at $55.79 soared to touch $81 on Friday. Did the earnings news, while encouraging considering the history of missing earnings estimates, actually change the direction of the profit picture for the company? The leading developer of electric vehicles has been on a roll in the last couple of months with the stock soaring from $35 in mid-March to gain more than 130% by mid-day Friday. The bullish move all started when CEO Elon Musk famously tweeted about a profitable quarter and the stock has exploded ever since that day. Read the full article at Seeking Alpha. Disclosure: No positions mentioned. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Tesla Motors, Inc. ( TSLA ) continues to trade around highs even as analysts cut estimates. The company recently predicted profits for Q1 2013, yet the average analyst still expects a small loss by the company. In fact, over the last week, the Q1 estimate has slightly dropped to a loss of $0.07. The company is leading the charge to developing the electric vehicle market with several revolutionary Model S that has obtained numerous awards. While the stock remains close to the highs at around $37, the analysts continue to drop the estimates for 2013. The company reported what appeared to be strong results for Q4, so why have the analysts gotten more negative on 2013 and 2014 results? Read the full article at Seeking Alpha. Disclosure: No positions mentioned. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

With the SolarCity Corp (SCTY) IPO last week, investors got another reminder of the time demands of Tesla Motors (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk. Not only is he busy attempting to make Tesla into a force in the auto sector, but also he is busy launching rockets to Mars via SpaceX and now prominently involved with another public company. If anything highlighted the issues with his time, it had to be the IPO interview on CNBC. In general, it is odd for the chairman to be involved in the post-IPO interview. On top of that, the interviewers kept attempting to steer the questions towards Tesla. That isn't necessarily the fault of Musk, but it does highlight the issues that the stock market will place on his priorities now that he runs two public companies. While all three of his companies are revolutionary and worthy of attention, none of the companies are exactly more than developmental at this point. Tesla, as a prime point, has been public for over two years yet the market became excited base...

Anybody following this blog knows that Stone Fox Capital has been negative on Tesla Motors (TSLA) because the CEO, Elon Musk, is actively involved in multiple firms. In what is seen as his 3rd firm, SolarCity (SCTY) debuted to on the Nasdaq. The CNBC interview this morning highlights the issue with him so focused on other firms. As only Chairman, it's odd for him to be interviewed along with the CEO. Typically its the CFO if anybody that shows up on tv. Note how the conversation goes directly towards Tesla when the CEO can't hear the interviewers. Just the confusion on this interview highlights the risks in these stocks. Elon is clearly highly involved with this firm along with SpaceX. As the CEO of Tesla, he should be spending all of his time on that firm. The guy is obviously brilliant, but his competition is completely focused on one company and sector. Disclosure: No positions mentioned. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Prior to the open on Tuesday, Tesla Motors (TSLA) announced that Q3 revenues would not meet analyst estimates. The company is having significant problems ramping production and obtaining supplies on time. Did you catch that part about issues with suppliers? Seriously? Production was half the forecast and only 300 vehicles in Q3, yet suppliers couldn't keep up. That clearly can't be a good sign, as these suppliers must typically deal with thousands if not millions of parts for other automakers. This is starting to remind me of the Dreamliner plane built by Boeing (BA) : an innovative product that took much longer to produce due to the complexities of a new design and a diverse supplier network. The only difference is that Boeing lacks major competition while also having the capital to withstand any setbacks. Read the full article at Seeking Alpha. Disclosure: No positions mentioned. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Great interview from Bloomberg with Elon Musk. Musk was a co-founder of PayPal and the CEO of SpaceX and Tesla Motors (TSLA) . He has done some incredible stuff by developing an electric vehicle manufacturer and a space company. Unfortunately as anybody following this blog probably knows we're just not fans of investing in a company such as Tesla that has a part time CEO. Even a CEO as talented as Musk. Anybody paying attention probably knows that SpaceX recently launched the first private spaceship headed to dock with the International Space Station. An incredible feat considering the difficulty and expense that NASA had run into in the last decade. The more incredible stat that I read was that SpaceX has spent less money to develop a spaceship than the $1B  Facebook (FB) spent on Instagram. Now isn't that a sign of the times! Below is good interview from Bloomberg discussing the recent launch and the plans for Tesla. The interesting statement was the odds of station do...

It has long been known that Elon Musk of Tesla Motors (TSLA) was a CEO focused on other ventures. He is currently the CEO and Chief Designer of SpaceX and Chairman of SolarCity beyond his role of CEO and Product Architect of Tesla Motors. I'm tired just thinking about all the work he does. He is juggling so many roles that at some point one has to slip up. Doesn't it? Elon is a brilliant guy and he clearly must have some strong people helping lead these companies. He has gotten farther with both Tesla Motors and SpaceX than numerous other start-ups in those fields. Since these multiple roles were well documented when Tesla went public back in 2010, it isn't something that has held back the stock that recently hit all time highs of nearly $40. Is this really much different than Steve Jobs handling the development of iTunes, iPhone, iPad and the starts of iTV? He was very controlling in those decisions, but the difference is that he wasn't serving multiple masters. If St...

Note: This article was originally written at the end of November to correspond with a short position in TSLA. Unfortunately I failed to make the trade and now TSLA has swooned big time. It will definitely be followed for future entry points on the short side. The news of the Russian billionaire entering the market just further highlights the competition for a sexy market similar to airlines even when the leading independent company is far from profitable.  While most of America is enamored with the supposed benefits of lower emissions of electric cars, the real beneficiaries appear to be utilities and coal and natural gas producers.  Lots of people debate whether electric cars reduce emissions. After all, power plants that use coal fuel electric cars. People seem to assume that batteries get charged by fairy dust. The Washington Post had a great article a few weeks back detailing why utilities are both thrilled and worried about electric cars. Something about utilities b...