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IB Net Payout Yields Model

Pinterest: Buy Now

Pinterest never provided the major selloff opportunity. The coronavirus fears offer an ideal entry point around $21. The stock now trades at only 5.7x forward EV/S targets despite 30% growth expectations. Sometimes stocks just run and investors have to pass on them while waiting for a better entry point.  Pinterest  ( PINS ) fit into this category following the substantial rally in early 2020, but the market dip following the coronavirus outbreak is providing another opportunity here. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: Long TWTR. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Gilead Sciences: COVID-19 Tops Disappointing Results

Gilead Sciences rallied on potential COVID-19 treatment. The plan to remove stock-based compensation from non-GAAP EPS guidance provides a headwind in 2020. Due to a disappointing turnaround, the stock is a sell on any major rally based on the COVID-19 treatment. The ability of  Gilead Sciences  ( GILD ) to make a run at new highs must speak to bullishness surrounding the coronavirus because the biopharma is struggling to complete the expected turnaround. In addition, new management made the unwise decision to remove stock-based compensation from non-GAAP results going forward causing a headwind for EPS estimates. When combined with disappointing growth prospects for 2020, investors are probably lucky the stock is at yearly highs above $70 versus the yearly lows at $60. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: Long GILD. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Apple: Not Priced For COVID-19 Impact

Apple warned on FQ2 revenues missing estimates due to coronavirus impact. Analysts remain very bullish on the company's prospects long term. The stock only trades $8 away from all-time highs. The stock isn't a buy until more realistic expectations emerge for the COVID-19 revenues impact. In no real surprise,  Apple  ( AAPL )  warned on revenue estimates  for the current quarter only about three weeks since the company provided  robust expectations  for FQ2 despite some fears on the coronavirus. My  previous research  had warned the stock wasn't appealing in the $320 range due to low yields and the virus issue in China and this warning reinforces this thesis. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: Long AAPL. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Aurora Cannabis: Finally, The Needed Reorg With A Major Catch

Aurora Cannabis announced a major reorg which includes the CEO retiring and cutting over 50% of operations expenses. The company guided to substantial revenue misses for FQ2/FQ3 and provided no indication Cannabis 2.0 products are meeting sales goals. The cannabis company plans to launch a value brand. Even at $1, Aurora Cannabis would still trade at 3x updated sales targets for FY21. Following news  Aurora Cannabis  ( ACB ) was planning to cut 10% of the workforce, the company came out on February 6 with the announcement of a  major reorganization . The Canadian cannabis company has finally made a move to rationalize the business with the market realities, but the cuts are so massive that my  investment thesis  is still on hold due to the risks of meeting updated loan covenants and limited cash balances to execute a complicated corporate pivot. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No position. Please review the disclai...

Alphabet: Ignore Revenue Fears

Alphabet missed Q4 revenue estimates by $790 million. The tech giant grew revenue at a 19% rate at constant currency. My price target remains $1,700 based on an EV/E of 20x '21 EPS estimates of $76. Alphabet  (NASDAQ: GOOG ) (NASDAQ: GOOGL ) appeared headed towards our  $1,700 price target  until the company disappointed the market with Q4 reported revenue growth of only 17%. The digital ad giant generates volatile revenue growth making the stock a buy anytime the Alphabet dips despite constant currency growth at 20% annual growth rates. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No position mentioned. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

AMD: Good Enough

AMD slightly beat analyst estimates for Q4. The market is disappointed with Q1 guidance and the projected growth rates for exiting 2020. The stock trades below 25x a realistic 2020/2021 EPS target of $2. The initial dip following the  Advanced Micro Devices  ( AMD )  Q4 results  tells the main part of the story for the stock. Both bulls and bears will like the report, but the long-term story still favors the bulls. The  investment thesis  remains bullish as the chip company moves to capture market share in 2020 and beyond while the market desires higher growth rates exiting the year. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No position. Please read the disclaimer page for more details. 

Aurora Cannabis: Legitimate $1 Target

Aurora Cannabis is attempting to sell a facility once planned to produce 105,000 kg of cannabis. The major Canadian cannabis stocks don't trade at distressed levels. The stock has a legitimate reason for trading at $1 per share or 2x FY21 sales estimates. My constant warning on Aurora Cannabis ( ACB ) has been the risks associated with the stock still trading on elevated expectations. Despite large declines, most of the Canadian cannabis stocks don't trade at distressed levels. The stock could very easily hit the  $1 price target  prescribed by Piper Sandler last week. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No position. Please review the disclaimer page for more details.