Nikola: Too Many Promises For Now
Nikola has a long list of promises to meet in order to reach substantial out year revenue targets.
The stock currently has a $15 billion market cap due to 425 million fully diluted shares outstanding.
The company remains a 2024 revenue story.
Investors need to realize Nikola has 200% upside, but the stock has 90% downside risk over the next few years.
As with most IPOs and newly public companies, the initial earnings report is very volatile. The Q2 earnings report for Nikola (NKLA) was no different from the general market despite the unique method of going public via a SPAC. Whether or not to invest in the stock is more related to whether the zero emissions commercial transportation system company can meet staled promises. My investment thesis remains negative on the stock, considering the huge jump in the public float and the massive valuation for a company that hasn't delivered on revenues yet.
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