IB Net Payout Yields Model

Still No Tailwinds For Mosaic, Just Yet

The fertilizer sector still appears ready for a breakout year in 2013, as strong crop demand merges with weak production due to the severe drought in the U.S and various other weather issues around the world. About a month ago, this article focused on the potential at Mosaic (MOS) as the company reported strong demand in Q4. Since that report, many competitors have curtailed production and cancelled expansion projects due to a weak demand environment.

The company is one of the world's leading producers and marketers of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients.

While Mosaic was very bullish on that earnings call in a similar tone as competitor Potash (POT) (see article here), the actual Q1 report released yesterday disappointed analysts. The company reported $1.01 per share versus analyst estimates at $1.15. The stock dropped 4% on the day, yet investors should've been aware of the potential weakness with all the weak demand notices during the quarter.

Read the full article at Seeking Alpha.


Disclosure: No positions mentioned. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 




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