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IB Net Payout Yields Model

LendingClub: Some Perspective

LendingClub plunged following disappointing Q4 guidance. Most of the impacts are short-term adjustments to the credit model or temporary market conditions. The fintech guided to record revenues for Q4 and expects further growth in 2018. LendingClub  ( LC ) plunged 16% in the first day of trading following  Q3 results after taking a hit leading into earnings. Despite record revenues, the market was highly displeased with projections even considering a highly attractive valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: Long LC. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Disney: Predictable Decline

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The FQ4 results for Disney ( DIS ) were predictably weak. The ongoing weakness in cable networks was hidden last year by the strength of movies and the media giant is now getting hit by weaknesses in both segments. Incredibly though, the stock still trades near $100 and at levels that mostly exceed the price last year. Is now really the time to own Disney as the company embarks on a digital shift? Disney missed both top and bottom line analyst estimates in a sign of how bad the times are now. The media giant has missed revenue estimates for five consecutive quarters, but the company didn't previous miss EPS forecasts. Disney faces multiple issues that can't offset the positive momentum from their parks and resorts division.

Sprint: Not Making A Good Case

Sprint reports improving FQ2 results. The highlights and CEO message aren't supportive of regulatory approval of a merger with T-Mobile. Net debt position remains a problem for stock gains absent a merger and industry consolidation. Along with  FQ2 results ,  Sprint  ( S ) released data points that aren't supportive of an industry needing consolidation. My  investment thesis  continues to suggest the stock isn't worth much more than the current price based on the results and the reported deal on the table with  T-Mobile  ( TMUS ). Read the full article at Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No position. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

GrubHub: No Competition Fears Here

GrubHub surges following strong revenue guidance for Q4. The market appears to misunderstand the inclusion of Eat24 numbers into the estimates. Solid financial metrics support the effective handling of competition. Stock valuation remains a question as EBITDA will trail sales growth in 2018. In no real surprise,  GrubHub  ( GRUB ) easily fought off competition during Q3. As the company integrates recent acquisitions, the bigger issue is valuation now that the online food order and delivery service added debt to the balance sheet and boosted sales. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No position. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Chipotle: $250 Is A Legitimate Target Now

Chipotle dips below $300 following highly disappointing Q3 results. The negative EPS trend still signals to avoid the stock. The downward shift in store opening growth will further impact the long-term potential. After the close,  Chipotle Mexican Grill  ( CMG ) reported highly disappointing  Q3 results . The numbers were so bad that my  previous article  questioned whether $300 would hold and now the focus can shift to the $250 level. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No position mentioned. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

AT&T: Pay-TV Problems Mount

AT&T warned on Q3 results due to hurricanes. The company provided a secondary nugget that the pay-TV business faced even greater cord-cutting pressure. Investors should expect 2018 EPS cuts. Hidden within a  warning  for Q3 earnings,  AT&T  ( T ) detailed more weakness in the pay-TV segment. My research previously  warned investors  of troubles ahead as the NFL protests would only further hit a segment in decline. Read the full article at Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No positions mentioned. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Citigroup: Don't Fight Capital Returns Tailwinds

Citigroup reported solid Q3 results. Capital returns provided strong tailwinds for the stock. Citigroup offers the best yield in the large financial sector. Prior to the open,  Citigroup  ( C ) reported another quarter of  solid earnings , backing up my long-held  investment thesis  that the financial was a huge value. During the quarter, the large financial ramped up capital returns, providing a large tailwind that the market keeps fighting. Read the full article at Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: Long C. Please review the disclaimer page for more details.