Out Fox The $treet

  Viking Therapeutics' stock plunged over 40% after misunderstood Phase 2 oral weight-loss drug data, despite results showing strong short-term efficacy versus market leaders. The Phase 2 trial demonstrated 12.2% weight loss in 13 weeks, with progressive results and potential for further improvement with longer dosing periods. Concerns over high discontinuation and GI side effects are noted, but these issues are manageable and expected to be addressed in Phase 3 studies. The market's reaction is a major overreaction; I remain ultra bullish on VKTX stock, as the investment thesis is de-risked and the pipeline is well-funded for future growth. Viking Therapeutics, Inc.  ( NASDAQ: VKTX ) plunged after the market wildly misinterpreted Phase 2 data for a key weight loss drug. The biotech continues to progress to a pivotal Phase 3 study while de-risking the strong pipeline. My  investment thesis  remains ultra Bullish on the stock, especially after Viking Therapeutics fell...

Update - Aug. 18, 2025 SoundHound AI has quickly rolled over as the market starts understanding the limited organic growth doesn't warrant a stock trading at 40x sales targets. The stock likely closes the gap down to $11.06 from Aug. 7.  Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The Street get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios.  Learn More » Original article posted on Aug. 13 SoundHound AI reported record Q2 revenues, but guidance for the second half of 2025 was weaker, raising concerns about sustainable growth. The company continues to report limited organic growth, with much of the recent revenue boost attributed to acquisitions rather than core business expansion. Despite a $6.5 billion valuation and claims of a large pipeline, actual progress in key verticals like restaurants and autos appears slow and unclear. I remain ultra bearish on SOUN due to its rich valuation and lack of a compelling, transparent growth story for long-term ...

Update - July 25, 2025 Nextdoor surged following the launch of the NEXT platform and switch of the ticker to "NXDR", but the stock has sold off the last 4 days providing an ideal entry point.  Original article posted on June 4 Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. trades near cash value, presenting a compelling risk/reward as it prepares to launch its transformative NEXT platform. Management paused monetization and user growth to focus on NEXT, temporarily depressing revenue but setting up for a major turnaround. NEXT aims to deliver hyper-local content, professional news, and AI-driven recommendations, addressing past engagement and monetization challenges. The stock trades at less than 1x EV/S targets due to a strong cash position, limiting downside risk while the upcoming platform relaunch offers significant upside potential. Just as  Nextdoor Holdings, Inc.  ( KIND ) is set to launch a new user interface, the stock trades at all-time lows. Despite a promising turnaround in place, t...

Update - July 23 SoundHound AI is making another run at breaking resistance around $12.50. The voice AI stock has no business rallying from here, but the market doesn't fully understand pro-forma sales metrics.  Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The Street get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios.  Learn More » Original article posed on July 18 SoundHound AI, Inc.'s reported 150%+ growth is misleading, driven by acquisitions rather than true organic expansion, yet the stock trades at a premium valuation. Revenue guidance and pro forma numbers reveal little to no organic growth, casting doubt on management's optimistic projections and market enthusiasm. The stock trades at 30x 2025 sales targets of $167 million, which appear very aggressive. Given the murky growth story and high valuation, I recommend selling SOUN, as the stock is priced for perfection without supporting fundamentals. SoundHound AI, Inc.  ( NASDAQ: SOUN )...

Update - July 16, 2025 Joby Aviation has now soared over 100% in the last month with the market cap jumping to nearly $14 billion. The stock is at all-time highs while the eVTOL is still is the process of certifying aircraft. Investors might want to pump the brakes.  Original article posted on June 5 Joby Aviation, Inc. surged on Toyota's $250M investment, boosting liquidity to $1.3B and reinforcing their manufacturing partnership. The air taxi company is progressing towards commercial launch, with pilot testing in Dubai and a potential $1B+ sales agreement in Saudi Arabia. Joby Aviation has production ramp-up plans for up to 500 eVTOLs annually, with a mix of direct sales and air taxi operations driving future revenue. JOBY stock is attractive on dips towards $7 due to certification and launch risks. Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The Street get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios.  Learn More » Joby Aviation, Inc.  ( NY...

  Rivian is making significant progress towards profitability due to major cost reductions, despite current sales challenges in the premium EV sector. The upcoming R2 and R3 models are set to dramatically boost sales, with production ramping up at the Normal, Illinois facility in 2026. Tesla's recent struggles and Elon Musk's political distractions create an opportunity for Rivian to capture market share in the domestic EV segment. I'm ultra bullish on Rivian at current levels, especially if the stock dips near $11, as future growth catalysts remain strong. As Elon Musk is still distracted by politics,  Rivian Automotive, Inc.  ( NASDAQ: RIVN ) continues to progress towards launching the next-generation vehicles expected to dramatically boost sales levels. The EV maker has made significant progress towards turning profitable while  Tesla, Inc.  ( TSLA ) has floundered a massive lead in the EV race. My  investment thesis  remains ultra Bullish on Rivian...

Update - June 30, 2025 Meta  quickly rallied to a new high today at $748 on the Superintelligent Labs and quickly eversed in a potential sign of a top. In a bid to lead the next wave of AI innovation, Meta ( NASDAQ: META ) is creating a “superintelligence” division dedicated to developing cutting-edge artificial intelligence technologies. Meta Superintelligent Labs will be led by Alexandr Wang, the former CEO of Scale who Meta ( NASDAQ: META ) lured away after making a $14.3B investment for a 49% stake in the company. Along with Wang, a select group of Scale employees and researchers from OpenAI, Anthropic and Google ( GOOG ) have also joined the Meta superintelligence team. In a letter to employees viewed by Bloomberg, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg said, “as the pace of AI progress accelerates, developing superintelligence is coming into sight. I believe this will be the beginning of a new era for humanity, and I am fully committed to doing what it takes for Meta to lead the way.” ...

  CoreWeave rebounded sharply post-IPO, alleviating initial fears about debt and customer concentration with strong Q1 results and surging AI demand. The AI hyperscaler has robust adjusted EBITDA supporting the company’s ability to handle large debt loads, but capital needs remain high. A looming lock-up expiration, limited public float, and significant stock options/warrants could trigger heavy selling pressure in late September. At nearly $190, I’m tepidly bullish but cautious given the stretched valuation, rising debt, and potential dilution from upcoming share unlocks. CoreWeave, Inc.  ( NASDAQ: CRWV ) had a disappointing IPO, but the stock action over the last month has made up for the bad start. The stock of the AI hyperscaler is now up 365% from the IPO price. My investment thesis is tepidly Bullish  with CoreWeave trading up at nearly $184, knowing the lock-up expiration will likely take the stock down. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No...

Update - June 20, 2025 UA appears set for a run with no real news today. The stock broke the downtrend today.  Original article posted on May 21  Under Armour's turnaround is challenged by tariffs and weak sales, but founding CEO Kevin Plank's return brings renewed focus on innovation and premium products. Product resets and SKU cuts have hurt sales, but new launches like the Uncrushable Hat and No Weigh Backpack show promise for higher-margin growth. The stock remains cheap at only 0.6x forward EV/S targets, while industry peers trade at least 3x the multiple of sales. Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The Street get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios.  Learn More » The  Under Armour, Inc.  ( NYSE: UA ) ( NYSE: UAA ) turnaround continues to struggle with the dynamic retail market due to tariffs. The athletic apparel company has made a lot of progress on innovation since founder Kevin Plank  returned to the C...

Update - June 11, 2025 Ouster surged 27% today on news of their digital Lidar being approved by the DoD for the Blue UAS Framework. The company doesn't have any news on actual contracts, but Ouster is now set up for future drone contracts.  -Ouster (NASDAQ:OUST) shares jumped 21% premarket on Wednesday after its OS1 digital lidar was approved by the Department of Defense for use in unmanned aerial systems.-Following a review of components and cybersecurity testing, the Defense Innovation Unit approved and added the Ouster OS1 to the Blue UAS Framework. The Ouster OS1 becomes the first high-resolution 3D lidar sensor approved under the Blue UAS Framework. Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The Street get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios.  Learn More » Original article posted on May 9 Ouster, Inc. reported strong Q1 2025 results with a solid revenue beat, signaling a potential inflection point. The company recently announced seve...

  Broadcom's AI business is growing rapidly but remains a small portion of its $1.2T valuation, making the stock richly priced for its current AI exposure. AI revenues are forecast to reach $5.1B in FQ3, with custom AI accelerators and networking driving growth, but overall sales growth is less impressive. Despite a $10B buyback and strong margins, future sales growth is projected below 20%, and AI's lower margins limit further profitability leverage. The stock already trades at 14x FY27 sales targets, boosted by AI growing at a 60% clip, though Broadcom appears headed higher in the short term. Broadcom Inc.  ( NASDAQ: AVGO ) ( NEOE: AVGO:CA ) is a massive technology infrastructure company, shifting the focus into AI infrastructure. The company makes promising custom AI chips for industry leaders, but the market is already pricing in a  lot of AI excitement. My investment thesis is Neutral on the stock, with the breakout prior to earnings likely dictating the stock price ...

Update - May 28, 2025 C3.ai reported a FQ4 beat, but subscription revenues only grew 9% with all of the growth coming from prioritized professional services.  -Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of -$0.16 beats by $0.04. -Revenue of $108.72M (+25.5% Y/Y) beats by $1.02M. FY26 guidance is a very wide range with the suggestion the low end is due to geopolitical risks, though those risks have disappeared of late. The guidance suggests revenues of $464 million versus consensus estimates around $466 million for growth of 20%.  Original article posted on May 21 C3.ai, Inc. trades back at yearly lows despite reporting strong growth in the last year. The enterprise AI software company has a ramping set of pilot deals and a surge in potential new agreements due to an AI partnership with Microsoft Azure. Despite current losses, C3.ai maintains a robust cash position and is prioritizing customer acquisition over immediate profitability to capture the generative AI opportunity. AI stock is cheap, trading at...

Update - May 27, 2025 Trump Media is selling $1.5B in stock and issuing $1B in senior convertible notes to buy cryptocurrencies in an odd move, probably due to the social media failing to gain any traction. Investors have no reason to buy this stock for bitcoin, instead of just front running Trump.  -Trump Media and Technology Group ( NASDAQ: DJT )  plans to raise  $2.5B in stock and senior secured notes in a private placement with ~50 institutional investors in which to create the largest Bitcoin treasury of a public company. -“We view Bitcoin as  an apex instrument of financial freedom, and now Trump Media will hold cryptocurrency as a crucial part of our assets…and help defend our company against harassment and discrimination by financial institutions,” said Trump Media CEO Devin Nunes. Original Article posted on January 29 President Trump has appeared to focus on meme coins over improving Trump Media, leading to a lack of promotion for Truth Social. Meme coins TR...

Update - May 16, 2025 Archer Aviation has rallied to $14 today on the news yesterday regarding the LA28 Olympics. The stock had rallied nearly 100% in less than a month and probably needs to consolidate here with the market cap topping $7 billion.  -Archer Aviation announced on Thursday that the company was selected as the Official Air Taxi Provider of the 2028 Los Angeles Olympic and Paralympic Games. Through the exclusive partnership, Archer's Midnight eVTOL aircraft will be integrated across the LA Olympic Games in various ways, such as transporting VIPs, fans, and stakeholders transportation, while also electrifying vertiport take-off-and-landing hubs for key venues and providing support for emergency services and security. -The company said it will introduce its Midnight eVTOL aircraft to Los Angeles in partnership with the LA Olympics organization. The event is expected to host over 15 million visitors and broadcast to billions of viewers globally over the course of the Games...

Update - May 6, 2025 The fintech has slipped to $50 despite a big quarter likely due to not hiking guidance.  Q1 GAAP EPS of -$0.03  beats by $0.16 . Revenue of $213.37M (+66.7% YoY)   beats by $12.11M . Upstart signed a forward-flow agreement for $1.2 billion with Fortress Investment Group. The main issue with numbers is likely guidance just generally matching current estimates.  Q2 Revenues of $225 million vs. consensus at $226 million 2025 Revenues at $1.01 billion vs. consensus at $1.01 billion.  The stock dips to a $4 billion market cap at the $42 after-hours price, or 4x sales targets. Upstart just traded down below $40, so the stock likely bounces at this level.  Update - Apr. 5, 2025 Upstart has entered the buy zone on the dip to nearly $30. The AI lending stock has just been crushed after rallying to $90. The company will have to report a serious pullback to lending to warrant this dip.  Original article posted on Mar. 30 Upstart Holdings...