Out Fox The $treet

Update - Nov. 13, 2025 Hims & Hers Health has slipped below key support around $40. The online health and wellness platform is getting incredibly cheap at just 3x '26 sales estimates of $2.8 billion. The company even just launched Labs, a preventative care lab test.  Original article posted on Oct. 20 Hims & Hers Health launched menopause and low testosterone products in the last month, expanding its addressable market and supporting its $6.5 billion 2030 revenue target. Recent product launches, including at-home lab testing, are expected to boost ARPU and drive significant revenue growth for HIMS in coming years. The stock market over reacted to planned stock sells by the CEO. Current weakness in HIMS shares presents a buying opportunity, with the stock trading at just 4x projected 2026 sales and robust long-term potential. Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The Street get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios.  Learn More ...

Upstart Holdings, Inc. experienced a disappointing quarter, with AI model errors and analyst mistakes contributing to weak results and a significant stock decline. The AI lending platform misinterpreted macroeconomic signals, reducing loan approvals and missing revenue estimates despite strong demand and industry peers performing well. UPST stock now trades at a low valuation, around 4x 2026 sales and 16x 2026 EPS targets, making it attractive for value-oriented investors despite execution concerns. Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The Street get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios.  Learn More » Despite a good market,  Upstart Holdings, Inc.  ( UPST ) had a very disappointing quarter. The AI lending platform trades at the lows as the company was both hit by an analyst error and internal  mistakes. My  investment thesis  is Bullish on the the stock due to falling over 50% in the last few months, not necessari...

Update - Nov. 11, 2025 At the recent Investor Day, LendingClub outlined a medium term path to boost total loan originations to ~$20 billion. The fintech would finally top the prior peak levels and double current originations.  The stock is cheap at 12x '26 EPS targets. LendingClub has the opportunity to push financials and the stock if far higher levels. The biggest concern is that the company doesn't move fast enough.  Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The Street get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios.  Learn More » Original article posted on Oct. 27 LendingClub delivered another strong quarter, beating Q3'25 estimates and driving shares to multi-year highs. LC's loan originations remain below bullish expectations, but a $1 billion BlackRock financing deal and higher marketing spend could drive future growth. The stock now trades at 1.5x tangible book value, but LendingClub is still cheap at only 12x 2026 EPS targets tha...

  Rivian Automotive is poised for major growth with the upcoming R2 SUV launch, targeting a broader, more affordable EV market segment. RIVN's strong Q3 results, robust technology initiatives, and partnerships with Volkswagen and Mind Robotics highlight its evolution into a tech-driven EV leader. The company has ample liquidity, ambitious production expansion plans, and trades at a significant valuation discount to peers like Tesla and Lucid. With the R2 launch and upcoming Autonomous & AI Day as catalysts, RIVN is a compelling buy on any weakness before its next growth phase. Rivian Automotive, Inc.  ( RIVN ) is making huge progress towards launching the R2 SUV, vastly broadening the market opportunity. The new vehicle allows the EV manufacturer to enter mainstream auto with a list price below  the current average selling prices. My  investment thesis  remains ultra-Bullish with the launch of the R2 and other tech. Initiatives reinvigorating the growth stor...

 Update - Nov. 5, 2025 Perplexity AI deal completely changes the investment story when combined with subscriptions. The AHs trade at $9 is just the start of the AI rally.  -Starting in early 2026, Perplexity will appear in the chat interface for Snapchat users around the world, the companies said. -Perplexity will pay Snap $400M over one year, through a combination of cash and equity, as the company rolls the service out globally. Snap expects revenue from the partnership to begin contributing in 2026. Original article posted on Aug. 8 Snap's post-earnings slump is overdone; the market is ignoring strong subscription growth and undervaluing future revenue streams. The social messaging subscription business is gaining traction, with nearly 16 million subscribers and new higher-priced tiers like Lens+ and Platinum boosting potential revenue. Despite weak ad growth, Snap's Q3 guidance beats consensus, and the stock trades at a deep discount compared to peers like Pinterest and Re...

  Roku is positioned for strong growth, turning $100 into a solid support level after robust Q3'25 results. ROKU's platform revenues surged 17%, outpacing user engagement growth, with monetization initiatives expected to drive higher ARPU and revenue. The streaming platform is accelerating profits, with EBITDA nearly doubling by 2027 and a substantial cash hoard supporting share repurchases and future investments. Investors should view any pullback to $100 as a buying opportunity, given ROKU's multi-year growth trajectory and innovative monetization strategies. Roku, Inc.  ( ROKU ) traded at $100 heading into earnings, and the stock appeared doomed to another selloff. The market appeared disappointed with the guidance for the current quarter, but the company highlighted strong growth driver turning the  resistance at $100 into strong support going forward. My  investment thesis  remains ultra Bullish on Roku, with the streaming platform continuing to drive stron...

Update - Oct. 30, 2025  Roblox reported massive Q3'25 growth with bookings up 70% to $1.9 billion. The stock is down roughly 10% with the market lost focusing on GAAP revenue and net loss metrics, which don't fully incorporate billings.  Q3 Net loss of $257M Revenue of $1.4B (+23.9% Y/Y)  misses by $300M . Bookings up 70% Y/Y to $1.9B Average Daily Active Users 151.5M (+70% Y/Y) The mobile gaming platform reported bookings grew nearly $500 million above the record levels in Q2. The market cap has dipped to $82 billion and the company is likely to see 2026 bookings estimates reach $8+ billion next year, so the stock trades at ~10x forward bookings.  Roblox isn't historically cheap, but this level of bookings growth will warrant higher valuation multiples.  Original article posted on Sept. 9  Roblox remains a top growth story, but the stock is now priced for perfection after a major run. The immersive gaming platform faces more child safety lawsuits and ...

Update - Oct. 28, 2025  The big AI deals just keep coming. -TeraWulf shares jumped 20% in Tuesday morning trading after the company said it struck a 25-year AI compute joint venture with Fluidstack to build 168 megawatts of high-performance computing ("HPC") capacity at its Texas campus. -The deal represents about $9.5B in contracted revenue to the joint venture, with TeraWulf holding a 51% stake. It's possible the lease term may be shortened to 20 or 15 years. The total cost of the project is expected to be $8M-$10M per MW of critical IT load. Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The Street get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios.  Learn More » Original article posted on Oct. 9  TeraWulf is quickly transitioning from bitcoin mining to a digital infrastructure provider, securing major AI hosting contracts and Google backing. WULF's expanded deal with Fluidstack and a $3.2 billion Google commitment position the company for $...

Update - Oct. 23, 2025 Intel  beats weak guidance and hardly grows during an AI chip boom, market cheers anyway with weak guidance for Q4. The market just seems to get dumber and dumber. -Q3 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.23 beats by $0.22. -Revenue of $13.7B (+3.2% Y/Y) beats by $560M. Q4 Guidance  Revenue guidance of $13.4B vs. consensus of $13.37B EPS guidance of $0.08 consensus of $0.08 Original article posted on Oct. 7 Intel has surged despite no fundamental improvements in its foundry business or AI capabilities, making the rally appear irrational. The chip company has signed deals with Nvidia and the U.S. government for cash infusions provides liquidity but do not solve the lack of HPC foundry customers or AI solutions. IFS continues to report massive losses, and competitors like AMD and TSMC show no signs of meaningful collaboration with INTC on premium chips. The stock is extremely expensive at over 30x '27 EPS targets, investors are advised to use the rally to exit positions as ...

Update - Oct. 22, 2025 Avride gets a $375 million investment from Nebius Group (NBIS) and Uber Tech. (UBER). The company owned by Nebius is actively planning to launch a robotaxi service with Uber in Dallas and already has delivery robots in Jersey City, Austin and Dallas.  Nebius has slipped below $100 as the hot stocks continue to selloff this week. The stock is cheap compared to the large AI growth opportunities in the next few years with Avride and other investments mostly overlooked.  The stock definitely has some short-term trading risk on whether the gap is closed all the way to just above $60. The Microsoft home-run deal would seem to provide more support, but possibly not.  Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The Street get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios.  Learn More » Update - Oct. 2, 2025 Nebius jumps over $120 on more details from the big Microsoft deal. The market appears overly concerned Microsoft isn't...

GitLab Inc. remains a rumored buyout target, but a $60 offer undervalues its growth and strategic position. The DevSecOps company benefits from generative AI, driving software development complexity demand and 20%+ revenue growth. The company's strong gross margins, cash flow, and $1.2 billion cash balance reduce pressure to accept a low-premium buyout. GTLB stock investors should view current multi-year lows as a buying opportunity, with upside potential from both independence and a higher buyout offer. Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The Street get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios.  Learn More » GitLab Inc. ( NASDAQ: GTLB ) is constantly rumored as a buyout candidate, yet companies never seem interested in paying a very big premium. The DevSecOps company continues to benefit from generative AI leading to software development momentum and  growing demand. My  investment thesis  is more Bullish on the stock with or...

Update - Oct. 14, 2025 The stock is surging on more news of working on quantum computers, though indie Semi. hasn't announced anything material revenue related. The stock has soared to new highs regardless.  Original article posted on Aug. 13  indie Semiconductor is entering a major ADAS ramp, with a $7.1B backlog and a goal of $800M sales by 2028. The auto tech company is reporting stable financials, with manageable losses and a strong cash position, giving time for product ramps to materialize. indie Semiconductor is expanding into humanoid robots and quantum communications, adding exciting optionality beyond core auto tech, with real orders already secured. At just 3x conservative 2026 sales estimates, the stock remains ultra cheap with substantial upside as ADAS ramps and new markets develop. indie Semiconductor, Inc.  ( NASDAQ: INDI ) has had a painful year until recently. The auto tech company has a massive backlog with promising ADAS orders while quick expansions i...

Update - Oct. 7, 2025 Archer Aviation has soared here on speculation of a partnership with Tesla, though such a move doesn't make a lot of sense. The stock likely hits resistance here at $13.50 again.  Original article posted on Aug. 14 Archer Aviation Inc. continues to unlock massive global opportunities in the air taxi and defense sectors. The company has disappointed the market with recent aircraft design changes and pilot testing, but progress towards commercialization is still being made. Strategic partnerships, especially with Anduril, and international contracts provide near-term revenue and position Archer for commercial and defense market growth. ACHR stock trades far below the market values of companies with similar market opportunities in the eVTOL and defense space. While  Archer Aviation, Inc.  ( NYSE: ACHR ) has seemed like the company operates in a hot space, the stock has traded mostly flat all year. The eVTOL aircraft manufacturer pushing into the defense...

Updated - Oct. 2, 2025 Upstart might have some support here around $50 after BTIG caused the crash from $60 based on faulty delinquency data . The stock hasn't actually rallied on this news suggesting the negative momentum could keep Upstart under pressure.  Update - Sept. 24, 2025 Despite the rate cute, Upstart is trading down at recent lows. If the stock breaks $60 tomorrow, watch out below.  Original article posted on Aug. 6 Upstart reported a strong Q2 due to a big boost in loan conversions, but questions remain about sustainability and lack of consistent volume growth. The AI lending platforms expansion into auto and home loans is promising, but funding partners are lacking. The stock trades at 35x 2026 EPS targets, making Upstart expensive for uncertain funding growth. I remain Neutral on Upstart; consider buying on weakness or a breakout above $80 only if supported by rate cuts or major funding news. Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The...

Update - Sept. 19, 2025 As predicted, CoreWeave has started recovering after the irrational sell off heading into the lock-up expiration. The stock is back to $125 now and Loop Capital just initiated the stock with a $165 price target based only on a 10x '27 EBITDA target of $12.8 billion. The firm forecasts '27 revenues of $17.9 billion.  The stock is probably an easy ride back to prior highs with booming AI data center demand.  Update - Aug. 27, 2025 CoreWeave has seen the momentum change with the Cantor buy rating and $116 price target. The lock-up expiration flush should be over.  Original article posted on Aug. 15 CoreWeave, Inc.'s stock collapse post-acquisition and early lock-up creates a compelling buying opportunity below $100, flipping the original thesis. The AI Cloud company reported strong Q2 results with 210% revenue growth, $1B+ quarterly sales, and a record of $30.1B backlog, showing massive demand and scalability. Despite heavy capex and $11B of debt, Cor...