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Stat of the Day: VXO hits 45 again

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Not hardly a week removed from hitting 45 on 9/18/08 and the market is back to this extreme level. Usually hitting the 40 level has historically been a huge buy signal for at least the next 4-6 months. Below are the times that 40 has been hit and only 2 times did it exceed 45 in the prior 20+ years until this month. Guess time will tell if this one leads to a huge rally. Date High 10/19/1987 152.48 8/24/1990 40.01 10/27/1997 40.04 8/27/1998 41.46 4/14/2000 41.53 3/22/2001 41.99 9/17/2001 47.7 7/11/2002 41.64 9/18/2008 45.81
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Nextdoor: Next Step Up

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Update - Feb. 28, 2025 Nextdoor reported another strong quarter.  Q4 Revenue of $65.23M (+17.4% Y/Y)  beats by $2.11M . Adjusted EBITDA was $3.0 million, compared to a $14.0 million loss in the year-ago period, reflecting 30 percentage points of year-over-year margin improvement. The social media company guided to weak Q1 results due to going full speed ahead with the NEXT UI updates. This is great news for  investors, but the stock is down some 30% due to the markets short-term focus.  The stock trades at near cash value of $427 million.  Originally posted on Nov. 8 Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The Street get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios.  Learn More » Nextdoor has achieved a significant turnaround under the return of founding CEO Nirav Tolia, with 17% revenue growth and record WAUs. The company nearly eliminated losses, reporting a Q3 adjusted EBITDA loss of just $1 million, and expects to be cas...
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Upstart: Looking For The Buy Zone

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Update - May 6, 2025 The fintech has slipped to $50 despite a big quarter likely due to not hiking guidance.  Q1 GAAP EPS of -$0.03  beats by $0.16 . Revenue of $213.37M (+66.7% YoY)   beats by $12.11M . Upstart signed a forward-flow agreement for $1.2 billion with Fortress Investment Group. The main issue with numbers is likely guidance just generally matching current estimates.  Q2 Revenues of $225 million vs. consensus at $226 million 2025 Revenues at $1.01 billion vs. consensus at $1.01 billion.  The stock dips to a $4 billion market cap at the $42 after-hours price, or 4x sales targets. Upstart just traded down below $40, so the stock likely bounces at this level.  Update - Apr. 5, 2025 Upstart has entered the buy zone on the dip to nearly $30. The AI lending stock has just been crushed after rallying to $90. The company will have to report a serious pullback to lending to warrant this dip.  Original article posted on Mar. 30 Upstart Holdings...
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