IB Net Payout Yields Model

Invest like me - only at Covestor.com

Canopy Growth Just Admitted Massive Failures

By -
Canopy Growth remains locked out of the major cannabis opportunities in the U.S.
The Acreage deal is failing due to a lack of funding for the MSO.
The company is still aggressively spending chasing smaller global opportunities in competitive markets.
The stock is far overvalued here with a $6.5 billion valuation, over 16x FY21 sales estimates.
On June 22, Canopy Growth (CGC) hosted a virtual investor meeting where the company discussed the future of cannabis in great detail. Whether intentional or not, the large Canadian cannabis company highlighted how the business model continues to waste too much money chasing the wrong markets. My investment thesis remains highly negative on the stock here with a market cap of nearly $6.5 billion and a long road to profits ahead.
Read the full article on Seeking Alpha. 
Disclosure: No position. Please review the disclaimer page for more details.

Update 6/25
Canopy Growth just modified the deal with Acreage Holdings (ACRGF) to drastically lower the value. 
The original deal, announced in April 2019 and valued at ~$3.4B, consisted of $300M in cash and 0.5818 of a CGC common share for each ACRGF share subject to the federal legalization of cannabis in the U.S. (triggering event).
The new contract specifies a $37.5M upfront cash payment and 0.3048 of a CGC common share for each new Acreage Fixed Share, each representing 70% of an existing Acreage share.
Acreage will also issue Floating Shares representing 30% of an existing Acreage share which CGC "may acquire" in the future based on the occurrence or waiver of the triggering event for a minimum of $6.41.
CGC has agreed to loan $100M to Acreage subsidiary Acreage Hempco, an initial $50M at 6.1% interest and the remaining $50M subject to conditions. The loan will be in the form of a secured debenture maturing in 10 years

Popular posts from this blog

Aurora Cannabis: Deal Or No Deal

By -
Aurora Cannabis was left out of the major deal making in 2018. The cannabis company updated FQ2 guidance to revenues of $50 to $55 million with a continued focus on pure production growth. The stock is down as the market is becoming less impressed with commodity farming operations due to the prime Oregon example. The stock is below key resistance at $5.40 as medical cannabis patient totals failed to impress. As the end of 2018 came and went,   Aurora Cannabis   ( ACB ) was a notable absentee from the deal making in the cannabis market. Just about all of the other major Canadian cannabis players got large investments or signed up powerful partnerships, but the related stocks didn't generally maintain rallies following the deals. Based on the early legalization data in Canada and Oregon, the best option for Aurora Cannabis might actually be selling production capacity while the Canadian market remains hot. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No
Read more

C3.ai: Out Of Steam (Rating Downgrade)

By -
Image
This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Out Fox The Street.  Learn More »   Update - June 23, 2023 C3.ai has fallen back to earth after the Investor Day meeting. The Deutsche Bank analyst call on the meeting suggests the company still isn't ready to produce actual numbers from the generative AI demand.  C3.ai ( NYSE: AI ) shares  fell more than 8%  on Friday after investment firm Deutsche Bank reiterated its sell rating on the enterprise software company after it held its investor meeting. Analyst Brad Zelnick said the event "left a lot to be desired" as there were  no details on financials, "limited" updates on the company's operations and investors did not really attend the event, despite it being positioned as for them. "While we appreciate the vast opportunity presented by AI, the event did nothing to ease our skepticism on the true differentiation of the company's platform, its traction with custome
Read more

Archer Aviation: Promising Developments

By -
Image
  Update - June 12, 2023 Archer is finally in the midst of a breakout on the positive FAA news.  -The acting administrator of the Federal Aviation Administration, Billy Nolen, is in talks to join Archer Aviation (NYSE:ACHR), per a report from Reuters. -Citing sources familiar with the situation, the report indicates Nolen will depart his current position atop the FAA in the next few weeks and will then look to transition to a role at Archer (ACHR). Archer’s rival Joby Aviation (JOBY) previously appointed former FAA chief Michael Huerta to a position on its board in March. Original article posted on Jan. 19 This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Out Fox The Street.  Learn More »   Archer Aviation Inc. jumped to $3 on the excitement of small insider purchases. The eVTOL manufacturer recently announced several major developments towards FAA certification and production of the Midnight aircraft. Archer Aviation stock is interesting, with a $70
Read more