Out Fox The $treet

  The Trade Desk has dropped from over $140 to below $50 due to fears of an ad market slowdown and reduced growth targets. The digital ad platform only has a fraction of a nearly $1 trillion ad market providing huge growth opportunities for the years ahead. The stock is more attractive at 22x EPS targets, but the business is going through a rough patch elevating short-term risks. The Trade Desk, Inc.  ( NASDAQ: TTD ) has slumped due to fears of an ad market slowdown while the company has previously pulled back from aggressive growth targets. The digital ad platform now trades at a more reasonable  stock valuation after falling from over $140 to below $50. My investment thesis is more Bullish on the stock while looking for a bottom on the falling knife. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: No position mentioned. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 

Update - Apr. 14, 2025  Serve Robotics was chased into the $20s, but doesn't appear very loved in the $5s now. The only change to the story is the better understanding of the new 2,000 delivery robots pushed out towards 2026 with the delivery dates very late in 2025.  Original article published on March 19 Serve Robotics faces significant expansion challenges, aiming to grow from 50 to 2,000 delivery robots by year-end, with revenues lagging behind expectations. The stock has dropped to $7, presenting a more appealing entry point, despite anticipated volatility and potential revenue disappointments in the short term. The company raised $80 million, boosting its cash reserves to over $200 million, but must improve robot productivity and manage escalating costs. Investors should consider buying shares now, but be prepared for a bumpy ride as Serve Robotics scales operations and strives to meet aggressive financial targets. As investors were warned,  Serve Robotics Inc. ...

  AppLovin's stock has dropped significantly from its peak due to fears and short attacks. The company excels in AI advertising for mobile games, with ad revenues surging 73% in Q4 2024, and is expanding into e-commerce and connected TV ad markets. AppLovin's efficiency is notable, with a 62% adjusted EBITDA margin and $2.1 billion in free cash flow, before divesting the Apps business. Despite short-seller concerns, the stock remains a promising AI ad tech company, trading at sub 20x EPS targets on a gap close to $175. AppLovin Corporation  ( NASDAQ: APP ) is a prime example of how good stocks with explosive gains shouldn't be chased. The stock soared after reporting great results for 2024 and guiding up Q1  '25  results, sending AppLovin to a record high, but the stock is now down over $300 from the peak due to fears, short attacks and economic fears. My investment thesis is ultra-Bullish on the stock due to the e-commerce advertising opportunity, especially on a di...

Update - Apr. 5, 2025 Upstart has entered the buy zone on the dip to nearly $30. The AI lending stock has just been crushed after rallying to $90. The company will have to report a serious pullback to lending to warrant this dip.  Original article posted on Mar. 30 Upstart Holdings faces economic weakness fears, though loan origination and conversion rates have improved. The AI lending platform aims for $1 billion in 2025 revenue, further expanding into auto lending and HELOC markets. The key UMI index already suggests a tough lending environment, with ultimate upside on an improving market in the next 1 to 2 years. The stock is cheap at 4x sales targets, but investors should wait for better buy signals due to elevated short-term risks in fintech lending platforms. Upstart Holdings, Inc.   ( UPST )  has completely rolled over with other fintech lending stocks due to fears over economic weakness ahead leading to defaults and bank partners pulling back from lending. The sto...