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Intel: No Resolution To Foundry And AI Problems

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Update - Oct. 23, 2025 Intel  beats weak guidance and hardly grows during an AI chip boom, market cheers anyway with weak guidance for Q4. The market just seems to get dumber and dumber. -Q3 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.23 beats by $0.22. -Revenue of $13.7B (+3.2% Y/Y) beats by $560M. Q4 Guidance  Revenue guidance of $13.4B vs. consensus of $13.37B EPS guidance of $0.08 consensus of $0.08 Original article posted on Oct. 7 Intel has surged despite no fundamental improvements in its foundry business or AI capabilities, making the rally appear irrational. The chip company has signed deals with Nvidia and the U.S. government for cash infusions provides liquidity but do not solve the lack of HPC foundry customers or AI solutions. IFS continues to report massive losses, and competitors like AMD and TSMC show no signs of meaningful collaboration with INTC on premium chips. The stock is extremely expensive at over 30x '27 EPS targets, investors are advised to use the rally to exit positions as ...
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IB Net Payout Yields Model

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Nebius: Microsoft Home Run

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Update - Oct. 22, 2025 Avride gets a $375 million investment from Nebius Group (NBIS) and Uber Tech. (UBER). The company owned by Nebius is actively planning to launch a robotaxi service with Uber in Dallas and already has delivery robots in Jersey City, Austin and Dallas.  Nebius has slipped below $100 as the hot stocks continue to selloff this week. The stock is cheap compared to the large AI growth opportunities in the next few years with Avride and other investments mostly overlooked.  The stock definitely has some short-term trading risk on whether the gap is closed all the way to just above $60. The Microsoft home-run deal would seem to provide more support, but possibly not.  Update - Oct. 2, 2025 Nebius jumps over $120 on more details from the big Microsoft deal. The market appears overly concerned Microsoft isn't actually looking at Nebius as an AI cloud partner.  The stock is up ~400% since Out Fox The Street subs were told to buy the stock on April 28....
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Hims & Hers Health: Roller Coaster Gift

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  Hims & Hers Health launched menopause and low testosterone products in the last month, expanding its addressable market and supporting its $6.5 billion 2030 revenue target. Recent product launches, including at-home lab testing, are expected to boost ARPU and drive significant revenue growth for HIMS in coming years. The stock market over reacted to planned stock sells by the CEO. Current weakness in HIMS shares presents a buying opportunity, with the stock trading at just 4x projected 2026 sales and robust long-term potential. Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The Street get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios.  Learn More » Hims & Hers Health, Inc.  ( NYSE: HIMS ) launched a new product to market excitement, yet the stock ended last week lower due to confusion related to the CEO. The online health and wellness platform continues to build  out a strong lineup of new health products contributing to the expecte...
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GitLab Needs More Than $60

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GitLab Inc. remains a rumored buyout target, but a $60 offer undervalues its growth and strategic position. The DevSecOps company benefits from generative AI, driving software development complexity demand and 20%+ revenue growth. The company's strong gross margins, cash flow, and $1.2 billion cash balance reduce pressure to accept a low-premium buyout. GTLB stock investors should view current multi-year lows as a buying opportunity, with upside potential from both independence and a higher buyout offer. Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The Street get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios.  Learn More » GitLab Inc. ( NASDAQ: GTLB ) is constantly rumored as a buyout candidate, yet companies never seem interested in paying a very big premium. The DevSecOps company continues to benefit from generative AI leading to software development momentum and  growing demand. My  investment thesis  is more Bullish on the stock with or...
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indie Semiconductor: Robot And Quantum Bonus

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Update - Oct. 14, 2025 The stock is surging on more news of working on quantum computers, though indie Semi. hasn't announced anything material revenue related. The stock has soared to new highs regardless.  Original article posted on Aug. 13  indie Semiconductor is entering a major ADAS ramp, with a $7.1B backlog and a goal of $800M sales by 2028. The auto tech company is reporting stable financials, with manageable losses and a strong cash position, giving time for product ramps to materialize. indie Semiconductor is expanding into humanoid robots and quantum communications, adding exciting optionality beyond core auto tech, with real orders already secured. At just 3x conservative 2026 sales estimates, the stock remains ultra cheap with substantial upside as ADAS ramps and new markets develop. indie Semiconductor, Inc.  ( NASDAQ: INDI ) has had a painful year until recently. The auto tech company has a massive backlog with promising ADAS orders while quick expansions i...
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Archer Aviation: Unlikely To Be Stuck At $10 For Much Longer

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Update - Oct. 7, 2025 Archer Aviation has soared here on speculation of a partnership with Tesla, though such a move doesn't make a lot of sense. The stock likely hits resistance here at $13.50 again.  Original article posted on Aug. 14 Archer Aviation Inc. continues to unlock massive global opportunities in the air taxi and defense sectors. The company has disappointed the market with recent aircraft design changes and pilot testing, but progress towards commercialization is still being made. Strategic partnerships, especially with Anduril, and international contracts provide near-term revenue and position Archer for commercial and defense market growth. ACHR stock trades far below the market values of companies with similar market opportunities in the eVTOL and defense space. While  Archer Aviation, Inc.  ( NYSE: ACHR ) has seemed like the company operates in a hot space, the stock has traded mostly flat all year. The eVTOL aircraft manufacturer pushing into the defense...
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Upstart: Hitting A Wall

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Updated - Oct. 2, 2025 Upstart might have some support here around $50 after BTIG caused the crash from $60 based on faulty delinquency data . The stock hasn't actually rallied on this news suggesting the negative momentum could keep Upstart under pressure.  Update - Sept. 24, 2025 Despite the rate cute, Upstart is trading down at recent lows. If the stock breaks $60 tomorrow, watch out below.  Original article posted on Aug. 6 Upstart reported a strong Q2 due to a big boost in loan conversions, but questions remain about sustainability and lack of consistent volume growth. The AI lending platforms expansion into auto and home loans is promising, but funding partners are lacking. The stock trades at 35x 2026 EPS targets, making Upstart expensive for uncertain funding growth. I remain Neutral on Upstart; consider buying on weakness or a breakout above $80 only if supported by rate cuts or major funding news. Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The...
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