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Snap: Hidden Subscriber Boom

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Updated - April 1, 2026 Snap was insanely cheap at $4. Not sold on selling off the Specs biz, but think an activist can push management to do more, such as hike subscription prices. Irenic appears more focused on taking $500M in savings from Specs and repurchasing cheap shares.  -Irenic, which has an economic interest of ~2.5% in Snap's Class A shares, wants the company to spin off or shutter its smart glasses business, Specs, according to a Bloomberg report on Tuesday, which cited a letter Irenic sent to Snap Chief Executive Officer and co-founder Evan Spiegel. The activist believes that moves Snap could make could boost its shares to more than $26 each. -The activist fund also wants Snap (SNAP) to rationalize its cost structure by cutting jobs and changing its compensation structure for employees, according to the report. Irenic also is pushing Snap to concentrate on adopting artificial intelligence to improve ad monetization. Irenic also recommends a stock buyback with the share...
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IB Net Payout Yields Model

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USA Rare Earth: Take Advantage Of Momentum Swings

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  USA Rare Earth is aggressively ramping up production with government funding, targeting a vertically integrated rare earth supply chain. USAR's magnet and metal businesses are scaling rapidly, with sales forecast to reach $2.6 billion by 2030 and significant milestones in 2027–2029. The stock trades at less than 3x 2030 EBITDA targets, presenting a compelling long-term buy opportunity near yearly lows. The company faces execution and pricing risks, but current weakness offers attractive entry for investors willing to buy dips and sell sector-driven spikes. Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The Street get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios.  Learn More » USA Rare Earth, Inc.  ( USAR ) is full-speed ahead now with government funding and plans to ramp up towards production in multiple areas. The rare earths miner and metal maker has been a solid buy  at the lows of the last year below $15. My  investment thesis ...
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Palo Alto Networks: AI Threat Is Real

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    Palo Alto Networks, Inc. faces valuation pressure from AI-driven competition and slowing organic growth despite platformization efforts. Recent large acquisitions—CyberArk and Chronosphere—signal gaps in PANW's platform strategy and introduce integration risks. Organic revenue growth is decelerating, with FQ3 organic guidance at only 13% and legacy business showing signs of slowdown. PANW stock still trades at 41x FY27 EPS, with a $120 valuation target, reflecting AI risks and premium multiples. Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The Street get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios.  Learn More » Palo Alto Networks, Inc. ( PANW ), has slumped back towards the yearly lows due to the AI threat. Even if AI doesn't replace cybersecurity, the threat will continue hitting the  valuation multiples  of the  stock. My i nvestment thesis  remains Bearish on the stock due to its expensive valuation compared to the ...
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American Airlines: Back In The Game

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  American Airlines delivered a major Q1'26 guide-up, projecting revenue up 10% and a loss per share far better than consensus. AAL demonstrates resilience, absorbing $400M in higher fuel costs and outperforming expectations despite geopolitical and commodity headwinds. The airlines continues to drive the updated loyalty program towards $1.5B in additional pre-tax income by 2030, roughly double current levels. The stock trades at just 5x EPS targets that should reach $2, a valuation deeply discounted versus peers. In a major surprise,  American Airlines Group Inc.  ( AAL ) guided to far better than expected Q1'26 numbers. The airlines were expected to struggle this quarter due to the Iranian conflict and surging oil prices. My  investment thesis  remains ultra Bullish on the stock trading at the lows near $10 after dipping from $16. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha.  Disclosure: Long AAL. Please review the disclaimer page for more details. 
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Tempus AI: No AI Interruption Detected

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Update - Mar. 18, 2025 Tempus AI continues to slow to the lows below $50 now. The stock is tasty once the shake out is over.  Originally posted on Feb. 25 Tempus AI, Inc. has declined 50% from highs, now trading near support despite robust above $50, despite good Q4 results and strong organic growth. The AI precision medicine company delivered 33% organic growth with Diagnostics revenue expanding due to higher test ASPs. Concerns over AI replacement have pressured the stock, yet TEM's proprietary data and hospital network provide defensible moats. At 6.5x 2026 sales and strong contract retention, TEM stock appears undervalued; I am ultra Bullish and see current weakness as a buying opportunity. Tempus AI, Inc. ( TEM ) has seen the stock continue to slide over the last few months, leaving Tempus down 50% from the highs. The AI precision medicine company has seen the stock slip back to support in  the $50 to $55 range despite ongoing strong results, including a solid Q4 earnings...
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Rubrik: Finally In The Value Bin (Rating Upgrade)

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Update - March 12, 2026 Rubrik reports FQ4  after the close. The current consensus is only 23% growth for FY27, so a guide up is likely. -Rubrik ( RBRK ) is scheduled to announce FQ4 earnings results on Thursday, March 12th, after market close. -The consensus EPS Estimate is -$0.11 (+38.9% Y/Y) and the consensus Revenue Estimate is $342.37M (+32.7% Y/Y) -------- FQ4 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.04  beats by $0.15 . Revenue of $377.68M (+46.3% Y/Y)   beats by $35.31M . FQ1 r evenue guidance of $365 million to $367 million vs consensus of $350.56M. FY27 revenue guidance of  $1,597 million to $1,607 million vs consensus of $1.58B. Original article posted on Feb. 12 Rubrik has declined over 50%, creating a compelling value entry for this AI-driven cybersecurity leader. RBRK's subscription ARR surged 34% in FQ3 2026 to $1.35 billion, with guidance for $1.44 billion by FY 2026 year-end. The stock trades at just 7x FY 2027 revenue and closer to 6x ARR, positioning RBRK as a top value...
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Nebius: AI Discount Bin

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Updated - March 11, 2026 Nebius has bounced back above $105 on the  NVDA  investment deal and strong earnings from Oracle. The neocloud stocks finally look ready for a breakout rally.  -Nvidia ( NVDA ) will invest $2B in Nebius ( NBIS ), and the two companies have formed a strategic partnership to develop and deploy the next generation of hyperscale cloud for the AI market. -Shares of Nebius jumped about 10% premarket on Wednesday, while Nvidia was largely flat. -The Dutch AI infrastructure provider said the partnership will help it deploy more than 5 gigawatts of Nvidia systems by the end of 2030. Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Out Fox The Street get exclusive access to our subscriber-only portfolios.  Learn More » Original article posted on Feb. 15 Nebius Group N.V. reported a strong ending ARR total, but the market is stuck focused on short-term revenue hiccups. NBIS is positioned as an AI cloud leader, suggesting strong long-term growt...
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